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Enphase Energy, Inc.

ENPH · Technology · · USD
36.37 USD
+0.00 (0.17%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

39
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 47
Momentum 15
Fundamental 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 32
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 20%
Trend & RS 46.9 30%
Momentum 15.4 15%
Fundamental 83.3 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 31.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 36.37
Stop Loss 32.55 (10.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 40.19 (+10.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 44.01 (+21.0%)
ATR(14) 1.91 (5.2%)
Risk per Share 3.82
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 39.1 -0.44
Momentum 15.4 -1.38
Quality 56.8 +0.27
Composite 37.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 5.61 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 36.0 28.0 +29% above
P/B Ratio 4.1 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
10.81
vs
Market Price
36.37
Upside
-70.3%
Margin of Safety -236.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)428,081,475
Terminal Value PV1,000,370,724
Total Enterprise Value1,428,452,199

Assumptions

Base FCF106,772,876
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
24.1%
Full Kelly
12.05%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
41.79
RSI(14)
-1.3206
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

79
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-39.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -28.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 41.79 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.3206 BEARISH
Ma Cross 40.36 / 40.74 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.73x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High73.74
Bollinger Upper42.28
SMA(200)40.74
SMA(50)40.36
SMA(20)38.37
Current Price36.37
Bollinger Lower34.47
52-Week Low25.78
ATR(14)1.91

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.08x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.16x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.44x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.03x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.73x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 36.92 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 38.87 Base line
Senkou A 37.89 Leading span A
Senkou B 44.28 Leading span B
Cloud 37.89 – 44.28 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 36.37 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 37.54 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 34.47 – 42.28  |  KC: 35.9 – 40.84

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 10
Hidden Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 42.41 Anchor: 2025-11-21 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -14.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/ENPH

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4.81B
P/E (TTM)36.01
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.07
EPS1.01

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-19.6%
Profit Margin10.1%
ROE13.0%
Debt/Equity51.90
Current Ratio3.45
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.64

Trading Data

36.37
Open
36.37
Day High
36.37
Day Low
2.64M
Volume (0.5x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —