EOG Resources, Inc.
EOG · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
62
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
58
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 86.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 58.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 72.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 144.89 |
| Stop Loss | 135.97 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 153.81 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 162.73 (+12.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.46 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 85.9 | +1.44 | |
| Momentum | 53.0 | +0.12 | |
| Quality | 62.2 | +0.49 | |
| Composite | 67.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.94
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.3 | 10.0 | +13% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.3 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
400.51
vs
Market Price
144.89
Upside
+176.4%
| Margin of Safety | +63.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 42,068,054,694 |
| Terminal Value PV | 171,255,932,257 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 213,323,986,951 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 5,475,421,288 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.55%
Full Kelly
20.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
37.86
RSI(14)
1.556
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
90
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+13.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 37.86 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.556 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 148.57 / 136.24 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.82x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 165.93 |
| Bollinger Upper | 168.15 |
| SMA(200) | 136.24 |
| SMA(50) | 148.57 |
| SMA(20) | 156.22 |
| Current Price | 144.89 |
| Bollinger Lower | 144.3 |
| 52-Week Low | 101.59 |
| ATR(14) | 4.46 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 155.30 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 151.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 153.29 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 151.18 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 151.18 – 153.29 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 144.89 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 140.37 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 144.3 – 168.15 | KC: 149.79 – 162.66
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 5 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 130.59
Anchor: 2025-12-19 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EOG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 77.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 11.28 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.28 |
| EPS | 12.85 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 48.7% |
| Profit Margin | 27.5% |
| ROE | 25.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 24.96 |
| Current Ratio | 1.90 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
144.89
Open
144.89
Day High
144.89
Day Low
5.26M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)