Evergy, Inc.

EVRG · Utilities · · USD

81.54 USD

0.00 (-0.48%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 60

Momentum 50

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	60.5	30%
Momentum	49.7	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	45.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	81.54
Stop Loss	78.84 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	84.24 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	86.94 (+6.6%)

ATR(14)	1.35 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	2.70
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	75.5	+1.02
Momentum	49.7	-0.01
Quality	29.6	-0.81
Composite	51.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.8	16.0	+30% above
P/B Ratio	1.8	1.8	Inline
Dividend Yield	3.4%	3.5%	Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

53.80

Market Price

81.54

Upside

-34.0%

Margin of Safety	-51.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,190,649,728
Terminal Value PV	9,214,261,413
Total Enterprise Value	12,404,911,141

Assumptions

Base FCF	724,903,200
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.57%

Full Kelly

19.79%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.71

RSI(14)

-0.5751

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-6.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Utilities)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.71	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.5751	BULLISH
Ma Cross	83.66 / 79.37	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.89x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	88.62
Bollinger Upper	83.93
SMA(200)	79.37
SMA(50)	83.66
SMA(20)	81.99
Current Price	81.54
Bollinger Lower	80.04
52-Week Low	70.42
ATR(14)	1.35

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	81.14	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	82.20	Base line
Senkou A	81.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	83.87	Leading span B
Cloud	81.67 – 83.87	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	81.54	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	82.32	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH