Exact Sciences Corp
EXAS · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
65
/ 100
Technical
67
Trend & RS
89
Momentum
72
Fundamental
55
Macro
24
Liquidity
83
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 66.7 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 88.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 72.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 83.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 104.91 |
| Stop Loss | 104.21 (0.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 105.61 (+0.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 106.31 (+1.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.35 (0.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.70 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 8.8 | -1.65 | |
| Momentum | 72.5 | +0.90 | |
| Quality | 21.6 | -1.13 | |
| Composite | 34.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.39
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 22.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 8.3 | 4.0 | Above |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.79%
Full Kelly
21.39%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
76.1
RSI(14)
0.4424
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 76.1 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 0.4424 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 103.09 / 74.54 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 104.98 |
| Bollinger Upper | 104.62 |
| SMA(200) | 74.54 |
| SMA(50) | 103.09 |
| SMA(20) | 103.65 |
| Current Price | 104.91 |
| Bollinger Lower | 102.69 |
| 52-Week Low | 38.81 |
| ATR(14) | 0.35 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Normal | 0.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-18 | Normal | 0.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-19 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-20 | Normal | 7.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-23 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 104.12 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 103.97 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 104.04 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 103.27 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 103.27 – 104.04 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 104.91 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 103.24 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 102.69 – 104.62 | KC: 103.15 – 104.15
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 18 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 20 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 84.03
Anchor: 2025-08-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+24.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EXAS
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 20.03B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.34 |
| EPS | -1.10 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 23.1% |
| Profit Margin | -6.4% |
| ROE | -8.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 105.57 |
| Current Ratio | 2.43 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.44 |
Trading Data
104.91
Open
104.91
Day High
104.91
Day Low
21.56M
Volume (8.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)