Ford Motor Company
F · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)
30
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
34
Momentum
40
Fundamental
16
Macro
24
Liquidity
58
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 34.5 | 10% |
| Momentum | 40.3 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 16.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 58.2 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 12.37 |
| Stop Loss | 11.65 (5.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 13.09 (+5.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 13.81 (+11.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.36 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.72 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 55.7 | +0.23 | |
| Momentum | 40.3 | -0.39 | |
| Quality | 9.4 | -1.62 | |
| Composite | 35.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.05
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
15.62%
Full Kelly
7.81%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 30/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
50.28
RSI(14)
-0.0456
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
36
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-5.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (44d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -11.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.28 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0456 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 12.74 / 13.15 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 17.78 |
| Bollinger Upper | 12.77 |
| SMA(200) | 13.15 |
| SMA(50) | 12.74 |
| SMA(20) | 12.15 |
| Current Price | 12.53 |
| Bollinger Lower | 11.52 |
| 52-Week Low | 11.11 |
| ATR(14) | 0.36 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.32x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 12.22 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 12.15 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 12.18 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 13.04 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 12.18 – 13.04 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 12.37 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 12.10 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 11.52 – 12.77 | KC: 11.62 – 12.68
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 20 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 13.52
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-8.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/F
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 50.04B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.36 |
| EPS | -1.98 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -2.0% |
| Profit Margin | -4.2% |
| ROE | -18.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 447.60 |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.91 |
Trading Data
12.53
Open
12.53
Day High
12.53
Day Low
53.91M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)