Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

FCX · Basic Materials · · USD

60.53 USD

+0.00 (5.27%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 72

Momentum 43

Fundamental 78

Macro 78

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	71.8	30%
Momentum	43.2	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	53.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	60.53
Stop Loss	54.85 (9.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	66.21 (+9.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	71.89 (+18.8%)

ATR(14)	2.84 (4.7%)
Risk per Share	5.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	49.1	-0.03
Momentum	43.2	-0.27
Quality	48.6	-0.06
Composite	47.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	32.0	18.0	+78% above
P/B Ratio	4.5	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	99.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

31.14

Market Price

60.53

Upside

-48.5%

Margin of Safety	-94.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	10,808,274,015
Terminal Value PV	33,962,541,410
Total Enterprise Value	44,770,815,425

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,173,590,289
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

42.09%

Full Kelly

21.05%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

43.91

RSI(14)

-1.5234

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-18.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	43.91	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.5234	BEARISH
Ma Cross	63.34 / 55.26	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.03x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	72.28
Bollinger Upper	71.95
SMA(200)	55.26
SMA(50)	63.34
SMA(20)	64.0
Current Price	60.53
Bollinger Lower	56.04
52-Week Low	35.15
ATR(14)	2.84

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	59.64	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	64.14	Base line
Senkou A	61.89	Leading span A
Senkou B	63.89	Leading span B
Cloud	61.89 – 63.89	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	60.53	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	71.72	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH