Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

FCX · Basic Materials · · USD

72.73 USD

+0.00 (0.23%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 99

Momentum 74

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 45

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	98.8	30%
Momentum	74.3	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	44.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	72.73
Stop Loss	67.01 (7.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	78.45 (+7.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	84.17 (+15.7%)

ATR(14)	2.86 (3.9%)
Risk per Share	5.72
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	47.9	-0.08
Momentum	74.3	+0.97
Quality	45.7	-0.17
Composite	55.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 7.15 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	35.6	18.0	+98% above
P/B Ratio	5.2	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	82.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

25.18

Market Price

72.73

Upside

-65.4%

Margin of Safety	-188.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,644,560,590
Terminal Value PV	26,519,099,428
Total Enterprise Value	36,163,660,018

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,343,580,598
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

51.07%

Full Kelly

25.53%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 79/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.8%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.27

RSI(14)

2.2397

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+10.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (8d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+15.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.27	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.2397	BEARISH
Ma Cross	66.4 / 60.73	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.52x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	80.24
Bollinger Upper	81.46
SMA(200)	60.73
SMA(50)	66.4
SMA(20)	72.63
Current Price	72.73
Bollinger Lower	63.8
52-Week Low	35.15
ATR(14)	2.86

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.52x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	75.84	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	70.60	Base line
Senkou A	73.22	Leading span A
Senkou B	68.05	Leading span B
Cloud	68.05 – 73.22	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	72.73	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	62.63	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL