Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

FCX · Basic Materials · · USD

61.40 USD

+0.00 (1.44%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 71

Momentum 43

Fundamental 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	71.4	30%
Momentum	42.9	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	71.2	20%
Liquidity	39.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	61.03
Stop Loss	55.63 (8.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	66.43 (+8.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	71.83 (+17.7%)

ATR(14)	2.70 (4.4%)
Risk per Share	5.40
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	55.0	+0.20
Momentum	42.9	-0.28
Quality	48.6	-0.06
Composite	48.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 6.21 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	32.5	18.0	+80% above
P/B Ratio	4.5	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	99.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

31.14

Market Price

61.40

Upside

-49.3%

Margin of Safety	-97.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	10,808,275,144
Terminal Value PV	33,962,544,956
Total Enterprise Value	44,770,820,100

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,173,590,516
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

41.39%

Full Kelly

20.7%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.21

RSI(14)

-1.4504

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-18.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.21	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.4504	BEARISH
Ma Cross	63.4 / 55.35	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.06x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	72.28
Bollinger Upper	71.96
SMA(200)	55.35
SMA(50)	63.4
SMA(20)	63.94
Current Price	61.40
Bollinger Lower	55.92
52-Week Low	35.15
ATR(14)	2.7

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.06x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	59.64	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	64.14	Base line
Senkou A	61.89	Leading span A
Senkou B	63.89	Leading span B
Cloud	61.89 – 63.89	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	61.03	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	70.64	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH