W.W. Grainger, Inc.

GWW · Industrials · · USD

1324.49 USD

+0.00 (0.89%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 68

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 45

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	68.5	30%
Momentum	68.0	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	44.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	1324.49
Stop Loss	1270.57 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	1378.41 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	1432.33 (+8.1%)

ATR(14)	26.96 (2.0%)
Risk per Share	53.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	23.7	-1.05
Momentum	68.0	+0.72
Quality	68.6	+0.74
Composite	53.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 19.30 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	33.8	18.0	+88% above
P/B Ratio	15.1	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	75.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

687.23

Market Price

1324.49

Upside

-48.1%

Margin of Safety	-92.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,653,916,851
Terminal Value PV	24,715,034,905
Total Enterprise Value	32,368,951,756

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,477,085,541
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.62%

Full Kelly

22.81%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.81

RSI(14)

-5.4836

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-2.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (29d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.81	NEUTRAL
Macd	-5.4836	BULLISH
Ma Cross	1337.85 / 1173.69	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.84x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	1419.91
Bollinger Upper	1334.42
SMA(200)	1173.69
SMA(50)	1337.85
SMA(20)	1311.34
Current Price	1324.49
Bollinger Lower	1288.27
52-Week Low	906.52
ATR(14)	26.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	2.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	1310.72	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	1323.23	Base line
Senkou A	1316.97	Leading span A
Senkou B	1337.45	Leading span B
Cloud	1316.97 – 1337.45	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	1324.49	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	1379.53	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL