W.W. Grainger, Inc.
GWW · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
73
/ 100
Technical
80
Trend & RS
94
Momentum
78
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
78
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 80.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 93.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 78.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 77.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 1451.39 |
| Stop Loss | 1376.51 (5.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 1526.27 (+5.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 1601.15 (+10.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 37.44 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 74.88 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 24.0 | -1.04 | |
| Momentum | 70.9 | +0.84 | |
| Quality | 67.5 | +0.70 | |
| Composite | 54.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
19.31
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.9 | 18.0 | +77% above |
| P/B Ratio | 15.7 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 69.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
831.20
vs
Market Price
1451.39
Upside
-42.7%
| Margin of Safety | -74.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,076,936,519 |
| Terminal Value PV | 29,835,119,869 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 38,912,056,388 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,704,409,500 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
47.64%
Full Kelly
23.82%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
69.14
RSI(14)
35.501
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
84
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+18.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +15.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 69.14 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 35.501 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 1309.74 / 1241.4 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.91x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 1521.41 |
| Bollinger Upper | 1449.26 |
| SMA(200) | 1241.4 |
| SMA(50) | 1309.74 |
| SMA(20) | 1355.93 |
| Current Price | 1451.39 |
| Bollinger Lower | 1262.6 |
| 52-Week Low | 906.52 |
| ATR(14) | 37.44 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 1426.99 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 1380.70 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 1403.85 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 1378.85 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 1378.85 – 1403.85 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 1451.39 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 1281.68 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 1262.6 – 1449.26 | KC: 1301.6 – 1410.25
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 1202.65
Anchor: 2025-11-19 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+20.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/GWW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 67.95B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.89 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 15.68 |
| EPS | 45.51 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.3% |
| Profit Margin | 11.2% |
| ROE | 52.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 64.75 |
| Current Ratio | 2.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 69.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.95 |
Trading Data
1451.39
Open
1451.39
Day High
1451.39
Day Low
517.0K
Volume (2.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)