Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.

HII · Industrials · · USD

285.93 USD

0.00 (-1.65%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 52

Momentum 22

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	52.3	30%
Momentum	21.9	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	38.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	285.93
Stop Loss	269.25 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	302.61 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	319.29 (+11.7%)

ATR(14)	8.34 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	16.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	78.1	+1.12
Momentum	21.9	-1.13
Quality	32.3	-0.71
Composite	44.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.0	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.1	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.9%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

301.50

Market Price

285.93

Upside

+5.4%

Margin of Safety	+5.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,786,401,554
Terminal Value PV	9,094,202,451
Total Enterprise Value	11,880,604,005

Assumptions

Base FCF	528,967,352
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

25.08%

Full Kelly

12.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

37.67

RSI(14)

-4.2929

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-6.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (25d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	37.67	NEUTRAL
Macd	-4.2929	BEARISH
Ma Cross	296.09 / 344.86	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.79x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	460.00
Bollinger Upper	335.22
SMA(200)	344.86
SMA(50)	296.09
SMA(20)	304.43
Current Price	285.93
Bollinger Lower	273.65
52-Week Low	263.62
ATR(14)	8.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Spring	0.79x	Price broke below support then recovered on low volume — potential reversal

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	290.83	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	308.52	Base line
Senkou A	299.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	297.69	Leading span B
Cloud	297.69 – 299.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	285.93	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	324.93	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH