Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
HII · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
42
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
40
Fundamental
76
Macro
22
Liquidity
55
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 37.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 40.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 76.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 54.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 289.41 |
| Stop Loss | 267.27 (7.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 311.55 (+7.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 333.69 (+15.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 11.07 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 22.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 75.6 | +1.03 | |
| Momentum | 40.0 | -0.40 | |
| Quality | 33.6 | -0.66 | |
| Composite | 49.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.31
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.6 | 18.0 | -13% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
332.30
vs
Market Price
289.41
Upside
+14.8%
| Margin of Safety | +12.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 3,075,326,264 |
| Terminal Value PV | 10,019,400,250 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 13,094,726,514 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 585,416,427 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 10.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
26.54%
Full Kelly
13.27%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
51.97
RSI(14)
8.6931
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
19
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-5.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -8.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.97 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 8.6931 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 278.88 / 331.22 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.15x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 460.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 322.25 |
| SMA(200) | 331.22 |
| SMA(50) | 278.88 |
| SMA(20) | 282.9 |
| Current Price | 289.41 |
| Bollinger Lower | 243.55 |
| 52-Week Low | 255.36 |
| ATR(14) | 11.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.26x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 300.91 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 291.56 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 296.24 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 291.56 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 291.56 – 296.24 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 289.41 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 274.33 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 243.55 – 322.25 | KC: 267.5 – 298.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 18 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 289.06
Anchor: 2026-10-13 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/HII
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 11.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | 15.58 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.08 |
| EPS | 18.57 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.8% |
| Profit Margin | 5.4% |
| ROE | 14.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 53.33 |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.15 |
Trading Data
289.41
Open
289.41
Day High
289.41
Day Low
692.6K
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)