Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
40
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
47
Momentum
30
Fundamental
56
Macro
23
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 47.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 29.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 66.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 78.39 |
| Stop Loss | 67.05 (14.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 89.73 (+14.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 101.07 (+28.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.67 (7.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 30.9 | -0.76 | |
| Momentum | 27.0 | -0.92 | |
| Quality | 59.7 | +0.39 | |
| Composite | 39.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.1 | 18.0 | +101% above |
| P/B Ratio | 7.1 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
40.45
vs
Market Price
78.39
Upside
-48.4%
| Margin of Safety | -93.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,439,651,575 |
| Terminal Value PV | 27,984,418,270 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 36,424,069,845 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,563,252,913 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
24.92%
Full Kelly
12.46%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
27.83
RSI(14)
-6.8391
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
55
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-11.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (44d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -21.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 27.83 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -6.8391 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 106.55 / 92.11 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.62x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 139.75 |
| Bollinger Upper | 113.38 |
| SMA(200) | 92.11 |
| SMA(50) | 106.55 |
| SMA(20) | 95.59 |
| Current Price | 78.39 |
| Bollinger Lower | 77.8 |
| 52-Week Low | 63.52 |
| ATR(14) | 5.67 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 86.11 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 97.44 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 91.78 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 101.12 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 91.78 – 101.12 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 78.39 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 111.15 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 77.8 – 113.38 | KC: 87.34 – 103.83
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 94.37
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-16.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/HOOD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 70.59B |
| P/E (TTM) | 36.12 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 7.06 |
| EPS | 2.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.8% |
| Profit Margin | 39.0% |
| ROE | 21.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 223.78 |
| Current Ratio | 1.13 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.53 |
Trading Data
78.39
Open
78.39
Day High
78.39
Day Low
32.05M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)