Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
62
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
87
Momentum
69
Fundamental
62
Macro
24
Liquidity
59
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 86.7 | 10% |
| Momentum | 68.9 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 62.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 58.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 172.01 |
| Stop Loss | 163.47 (5.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 180.55 (+5.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 189.09 (+9.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.27 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 58.4 | +0.34 | |
| Momentum | 68.9 | +0.75 | |
| Quality | 53.4 | +0.14 | |
| Composite | 60.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.88
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.7 | 18.0 | +32% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.2 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
153.78
vs
Market Price
174.00
Upside
-11.6%
| Margin of Safety | -13.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 19,168,862,192 |
| Terminal Value PV | 66,770,241,625 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 85,939,103,817 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,281,616,595 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 14.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.94%
Full Kelly
20.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
64.13
RSI(14)
4.4864
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
66
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+19.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +9.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 64.13 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.4864 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 158.54 / 153.69 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 177.94 |
| Bollinger Upper | 176.43 |
| SMA(200) | 153.69 |
| SMA(50) | 158.54 |
| SMA(20) | 162.88 |
| Current Price | 174.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 149.33 |
| 52-Week Low | 121.79 |
| ATR(14) | 4.27 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 165.92 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 162.72 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 164.32 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 162.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 162.72 – 164.32 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 172.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 150.15 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 149.33 – 176.43 | KC: 156.56 – 169.2
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 12 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 151.19
Anchor: 2026-06-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ICE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 97.24B |
| P/E (TTM) | 23.71 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.25 |
| EPS | 7.34 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 14.7% |
| Profit Margin | 38.1% |
| ROE | 14.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 80.03 |
| Current Ratio | 1.03 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.84 |
Trading Data
174.00
Open
174.00
Day High
174.00
Day Low
3.55M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)