Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

ICE · Financial Services · · USD

161.26 USD

0.00 (-2.02%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 77

Momentum 63

Fundamental (0%) 59

Macro 64

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	76.7	20%
Momentum	63.0	20%
Fundamental	58.6	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	49.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	161.26
Stop Loss	154.04 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	168.48 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	175.70 (+8.9%)

ATR(14)	3.61 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	7.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	60.8	+0.43
Momentum	63.0	+0.52
Quality	53.1	+0.12
Composite	59.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.08 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	22.7	18.0	+26% above
P/B Ratio	3.1	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.3%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

98.87

Market Price

161.26

Upside

-38.7%

Margin of Safety	-63.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	14,192,574,281
Terminal Value PV	41,314,348,769
Total Enterprise Value	55,506,923,050

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,188,720,686
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.51%

Full Kelly

19.75%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

59.96

RSI(14)

3.5889

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+9.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 9d since high
Sector Outperformance	+6.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	59.96	NEUTRAL
Macd	3.5889	BEARISH
Ma Cross	147.94 / 154.56	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	176.59
Bollinger Upper	166.69
SMA(200)	154.56
SMA(50)	147.94
SMA(20)	158.25
Current Price	161.26
Bollinger Lower	149.8
52-Week Low	121.79
ATR(14)	3.61

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	160.81	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	156.06	Base line
Senkou A	158.44	Leading span A
Senkou B	143.22	Leading span B
Cloud	143.22 – 158.44	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	161.26	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	152.48	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH