International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.
IFF · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
58
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
81
Momentum
72
Fundamental
52
Macro
24
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 81.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 71.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 52.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 86.36 |
| Stop Loss | 81.28 (5.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 91.44 (+5.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 96.52 (+11.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.54 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 47.1 | -0.12 | |
| Momentum | 65.0 | +0.60 | |
| Quality | 22.6 | -1.10 | |
| Composite | 44.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.42
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 246.7 | 18.0 | +1271% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.6 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
4.69
vs
Market Price
86.36
Upside
-94.6%
| Margin of Safety | -1741.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 304,306,445 |
| Terminal Value PV | 870,027,565 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,174,334,010 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 70,109,562 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.38%
Full Kelly
19.19%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
41.43
RSI(14)
1.0522
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
77
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+6.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (3d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +2.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 41.43 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.0522 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 87.05 / 78.33 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.43x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 95.27 |
| Bollinger Upper | 96.51 |
| SMA(200) | 78.33 |
| SMA(50) | 87.05 |
| SMA(20) | 90.58 |
| Current Price | 86.36 |
| Bollinger Lower | 84.66 |
| 52-Week Low | 61.73 |
| ATR(14) | 2.54 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.43x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 89.72 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 88.41 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 89.06 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 88.41 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 88.41 – 89.06 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 86.36 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 83.12 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 84.66 – 96.51 | KC: 86.95 – 94.22
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 4 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 75.89
Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/IFF
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 21.62B |
| P/E (TTM) | 246.74 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.63 |
| EPS | 0.35 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.9% |
| Profit Margin | 1.7% |
| ROE | -7.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 51.38 |
| Current Ratio | 1.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.88 |
Trading Data
86.36
Open
86.36
Day High
86.36
Day Low
3.52M
Volume (1.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)