Ingersoll Rand Inc.
IR · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
58
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
61
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 49.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 61.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 48.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 81.85 |
| Stop Loss | 76.49 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 87.21 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 92.57 (+13.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.68 (3.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 59.5 | +0.38 | |
| Momentum | 61.3 | +0.45 | |
| Quality | 45.1 | -0.20 | |
| Composite | 55.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.97
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.2 | 18.0 | +29% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.0 | 3.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 10.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
50.86
vs
Market Price
81.85
Upside
-37.9%
| Margin of Safety | -60.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,935,561,687 |
| Terminal Value PV | 14,595,396,404 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 19,530,958,091 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,084,471,853 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.18%
Full Kelly
19.09%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
59.53
RSI(14)
1.4898
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
24
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-0.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 62d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 59.53 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.4898 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 76.57 / 81.03 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.83x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 100.96 |
| Bollinger Upper | 84.83 |
| SMA(200) | 81.03 |
| SMA(50) | 76.57 |
| SMA(20) | 78.61 |
| Current Price | 81.85 |
| Bollinger Lower | 72.39 |
| 52-Week Low | 68.07 |
| ATR(14) | 2.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 80.00 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 79.28 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 79.64 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 78.57 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 78.57 – 79.64 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 81.85 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 75.25 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 72.39 – 84.83 | KC: 74.68 – 82.54
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 78.06
Anchor: 2026-05-19 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+4.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/IR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 31.43B |
| P/E (TTM) | 23.19 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.99 |
| EPS | 3.53 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.6% |
| Profit Margin | 17.2% |
| ROE | 13.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 46.41 |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 |
| Dividend Yield | 10.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.16 |
Trading Data
81.85
Open
81.85
Day High
81.85
Day Low
3.85M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)