Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
ISRG · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
44
/ 100
Technical
33
Trend & RS
33
Momentum
25
Fundamental
67
Macro
65
Liquidity
82
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 33.3 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 33.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 24.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 65.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 82.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 420.06 |
| Stop Loss | 391.98 (6.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 448.14 (+6.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 476.22 (+13.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 14.04 (3.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 28.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 7.8 | -1.69 | |
| Momentum | 22.5 | -1.10 | |
| Quality | 76.9 | +1.08 | |
| Composite | 35.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 51.0 | 22.0 | +132% above |
| P/B Ratio | 8.5 | 4.0 | Above |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
237.97
vs
Market Price
420.06
Upside
-43.3%
| Margin of Safety | -76.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 16,998,870,786 |
| Terminal Value PV | 67,281,616,883 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 84,280,487,669 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,331,808,298 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 23.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
28.12%
Full Kelly
14.06%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
29.84
RSI(14)
-7.5588
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
45
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-21.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (51d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -12.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 29.84 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -7.5588 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 468.43 / 498.29 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.65x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 603.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 489.06 |
| SMA(200) | 498.29 |
| SMA(50) | 468.43 |
| SMA(20) | 460.52 |
| Current Price | 420.06 |
| Bollinger Lower | 431.98 |
| 52-Week Low | 417.74 |
| ATR(14) | 14.04 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 0.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-08 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 1.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 440.62 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 454.44 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 447.53 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 464.81 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 447.53 – 464.81 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 420.06 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 452.58 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 431.98 – 489.06 | KC: 438.42 – 482.61
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 471.74
Anchor: 2026-02-13 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-11.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ISRG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 148.77B |
| P/E (TTM) | 51.04 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.52 |
| EPS | 8.23 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 23.0% |
| Profit Margin | 28.2% |
| ROE | 17.2% |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 4.61 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.51 |
Trading Data
420.06
Open
420.06
Day High
420.06
Day Low
4.02M
Volume (2.1x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)