Kimberly-Clark Corporation
KMB · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
65
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
75
Momentum
62
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
73
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 75.1 | 20% |
| Momentum | 62.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 72.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 107.25 |
| Stop Loss | 100.87 (6.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 113.63 (+6.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 120.01 (+11.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.19 (3.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.38 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 41.2 | -0.35 | |
| Momentum | 62.0 | +0.48 | |
| Quality | 57.0 | +0.28 | |
| Composite | 53.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
8.38
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.1 | 18.0 | +17% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.5 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
64.69
vs
Market Price
110.46
Upside
-41.4%
| Margin of Safety | -70.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,586,134,338 |
| Terminal Value PV | 29,108,091,183 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 39,694,225,521 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,572,378,369 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.41%
Full Kelly
21.21%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
53.36
RSI(14)
1.9481
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
62
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+5.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -7.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 53.36 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.9481 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 102.43 / 101.43 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 116.82 |
| Bollinger Upper | 114.59 |
| SMA(200) | 101.43 |
| SMA(50) | 102.43 |
| SMA(20) | 106.66 |
| Current Price | 110.46 |
| Bollinger Lower | 98.73 |
| 52-Week Low | 92.42 |
| ATR(14) | 3.19 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
54%
Upthrust (potential)
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Stopping Volume | 3.08x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 108.63 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 103.40 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 106.02 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 103.40 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 103.40 – 106.02 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 107.25 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 94.36 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 98.73 – 114.59 | KC: 101.74 – 111.59
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 101.86
Anchor: 2026-04-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/KMB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 67.78B |
| P/E (TTM) | 21.08 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.53 |
| EPS | 5.24 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -0.4% |
| Profit Margin | 19.9% |
| ROE | 78.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 211.87 |
| Current Ratio | 0.89 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
110.46
Open
110.46
Day High
110.46
Day Low
8.60M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)