Kimberly-Clark Corporation

KMB · Consumer Defensive · · USD

112.47 USD

+0.00 (2.31%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 74

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 71

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	67.8	20%
Momentum	73.6	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	35.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	112.40
Stop Loss	106.96 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	117.84 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	123.28 (+9.7%)

ATR(14)	2.72 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	5.44
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	41.3	-0.35
Momentum	73.6	+0.94
Quality	51.1	+0.04
Composite	55.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.33 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.8	18.0	+21% above
P/B Ratio	20.8	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

65.79

Market Price

112.47

Upside

-41.5%

Margin of Safety	-71.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,762,097,565
Terminal Value PV	16,075,734,461
Total Enterprise Value	21,837,832,026

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,372,905,317
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

46.16%

Full Kelly

23.08%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

62.73

RSI(14)

3.3647

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+3.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+19.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	62.73	NEUTRAL
Macd	3.3647	BULLISH
Ma Cross	101.69 / 103.48	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.22x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	137.46
Bollinger Upper	116.97
SMA(200)	103.48
SMA(50)	101.69
SMA(20)	107.54
Current Price	112.47
Bollinger Lower	98.11
52-Week Low	92.42
ATR(14)	2.72

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	112.44	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	105.07	Base line
Senkou A	108.76	Leading span A
Senkou B	105.07	Leading span B
Cloud	105.07 – 108.76	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	112.40	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	94.76	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH