Kimberly-Clark Corporation

KMB · Consumer Defensive · · USD

104.96 USD

0.00 (-1.60%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 62

Momentum 57

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	40%
Trend & RS	61.8	20%
Momentum	56.8	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	52.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	104.96
Stop Loss	100.20 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	109.72 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	114.48 (+9.1%)

ATR(14)	2.38 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	4.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	43.5	-0.26
Momentum	56.8	+0.27
Quality	51.8	+0.07
Composite	50.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.40 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.7	18.0	+15% above
P/B Ratio	19.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

62.46

Market Price

104.96

Upside

-40.5%

Margin of Safety	-68.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,540,359,278
Terminal Value PV	15,234,010,636
Total Enterprise Value	20,774,369,914

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,346,279,946
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.44%

Full Kelly

19.72%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.18

RSI(14)

-0.3398

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+2.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+4.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.18	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.3398	BEARISH
Ma Cross	108.45 / 100.58	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	1.4x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	131.53
Bollinger Upper	110.48
SMA(200)	100.58
SMA(50)	108.45
SMA(20)	107.75
Current Price	104.96
Bollinger Lower	105.02
52-Week Low	92.42
ATR(14)	2.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.52x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	107.68	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	107.94	Base line
Senkou A	107.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	109.32	Leading span B
Cloud	107.81 – 109.32	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	104.96	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	108.01	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH