Kinder Morgan, Inc.

KMI · Energy · · USD

31.40 USD

0.00 (-0.63%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 48

Fundamental 49

Macro 64

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	67.7	10%
Momentum	48.1	5%
Fundamental	49.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	48.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	31.40
Stop Loss	29.94 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	32.86 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	34.32 (+9.3%)

ATR(14)	0.73 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	1.46
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	68.9	+0.76
Momentum	48.1	-0.08
Quality	33.5	-0.66
Composite	50.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.61 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.3	10.0	+103% above
P/B Ratio	2.2	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.8%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

27.74

Market Price

31.40

Upside

-11.7%

Margin of Safety	-13.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	14,505,396,263
Terminal Value PV	47,258,521,036
Total Enterprise Value	61,763,917,299

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,761,234,590
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.8%

Full Kelly

17.4%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.43

RSI(14)

-0.0192

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-4.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-19.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.43	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0192	BEARISH
Ma Cross	31.81 / 30.61	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.74x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	34.81
Bollinger Upper	32.88
SMA(200)	30.61
SMA(50)	31.81
SMA(20)	31.79
Current Price	31.40
Bollinger Lower	30.69
52-Week Low	25.60
ATR(14)	0.73

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.64x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	31.66	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	31.79	Base line
Senkou A	31.72	Leading span A
Senkou B	31.79	Leading span B
Cloud	31.72 – 31.79	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	31.40	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	31.88	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH