Kinder Morgan, Inc.
KMI · Energy · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
45
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
35
Fundamental
43
Macro
24
Liquidity
65
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 53.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 34.9 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 43.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 65.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 30.07 |
| Stop Loss | 28.23 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 31.91 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 33.74 (+12.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.92 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.84 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 70.9 | +0.84 | |
| Momentum | 34.9 | -0.60 | |
| Quality | 35.7 | -0.57 | |
| Composite | 47.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.53
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.6 | 10.0 | +86% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
27.25
vs
Market Price
30.19
Upside
-9.7%
| Margin of Safety | -10.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 14,555,225,978 |
| Terminal Value PV | 46,157,630,269 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 60,712,856,247 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,887,118,937 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 9.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
28.74%
Full Kelly
14.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
33.04
RSI(14)
-0.1595
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
59
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (10d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -8.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1595 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 31.82 / 31.57 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.04x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 34.81 |
| Bollinger Upper | 35.12 |
| SMA(200) | 31.57 |
| SMA(50) | 31.82 |
| SMA(20) | 32.9 |
| Current Price | 30.19 |
| Bollinger Lower | 30.69 |
| 52-Week Low | 26.04 |
| ATR(14) | 0.92 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.43x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.04x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 31.97 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 32.19 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 32.08 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 31.81 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 31.81 – 32.08 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 30.07 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 30.80 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 30.69 – 35.12 | KC: 31.49 – 34.32
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 30.42
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/KMI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 67.25B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.64 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.13 |
| EPS | 1.62 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 9.3% |
| Profit Margin | 19.6% |
| ROE | 11.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 101.74 |
| Current Ratio | 0.67 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.57 |
Trading Data
30.19
Open
30.19
Day High
30.19
Day Low
19.32M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)