Lockheed Martin Corporation
LMT · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
54
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
61
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 66.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 60.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 65.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 576.16 |
| Stop Loss | 536.28 (6.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 616.04 (+6.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 655.92 (+13.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 19.94 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 39.88 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 39.8 | -0.41 | |
| Momentum | 60.6 | +0.43 | |
| Quality | 52.8 | +0.11 | |
| Composite | 51.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.05
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.5 | 18.0 | +14% above |
| P/B Ratio | 13.2 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
514.32
vs
Market Price
576.16
Upside
-10.7%
| Margin of Safety | -12.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 27,714,604,962 |
| Terminal Value PV | 91,095,554,022 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 118,810,158,984 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 5,204,072,530 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
35.71%
Full Kelly
17.86%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
49.12
RSI(14)
22.9114
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
40
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+3.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (3d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 49.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 22.9114 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 547.96 / 564.21 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.04x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 692.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 679.92 |
| SMA(200) | 564.21 |
| SMA(50) | 547.96 |
| SMA(20) | 579.84 |
| Current Price | 576.16 |
| Bollinger Lower | 479.76 |
| 52-Week Low | 437.25 |
| ATR(14) | 19.94 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 616.36 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 577.00 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 596.68 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 577.00 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 577.00 – 596.68 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 576.16 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 505.50 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 479.76 – 679.92 | KC: 549.08 – 610.6
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 557.43
Anchor: 2025-12-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LMT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 133.10B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.46 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 13.17 |
| EPS | 28.16 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.3% |
| Profit Margin | 8.2% |
| ROE | 80.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 203.70 |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.08 |
Trading Data
576.16
Open
576.16
Day High
576.16
Day Low
1.76M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)