Lockheed Martin Corporation

LMT · Industrials · · USD

525.28 USD

0.00 (-1.44%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 67

Momentum 32

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 52

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	67.2	20%
Momentum	31.8	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	52.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	525.28
Stop Loss	498.04 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	552.52 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	579.76 (+10.4%)

ATR(14)	13.62 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	27.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	41.4	-0.34
Momentum	31.8	-0.73
Quality	52.0	+0.08
Composite	41.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.65 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.4	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	13.8	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

479.02

Market Price

525.28

Upside

-8.8%

Margin of Safety	-9.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	26,069,707,076
Terminal Value PV	84,482,565,007
Total Enterprise Value	110,552,272,083

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,003,543,525
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

26.46%

Full Kelly

13.23%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

34.26

RSI(14)

-7.5431

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-3.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (13d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	34.26	NEUTRAL
Macd	-7.5431	BEARISH
Ma Cross	551.78 / 549.99	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.94x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	692.00
Bollinger Upper	620.88
SMA(200)	549.99
SMA(50)	551.78
SMA(20)	569.69
Current Price	525.28
Bollinger Lower	518.5
52-Week Low	437.25
ATR(14)	13.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	545.24	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	566.51	Base line
Senkou A	555.87	Leading span A
Senkou B	546.57	Leading span B
Cloud	546.57 – 555.87	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	525.28	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	579.16	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH