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Lowe's Companies, Inc.

LOW · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
204.45 USD
+0.00 (1.26%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

24
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 26
Momentum 34
Fundamental (0%) 59
Macro 64
Liquidity 52
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 40%
Trend & RS 25.5 20%
Momentum 34.0 20%
Fundamental 59.4 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 51.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 204.45
Stop Loss 194.37 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 214.53 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 224.61 (+9.9%)
ATR(14) 5.04 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 10.08
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 68.4 +0.74
Momentum 34.0 -0.64
Quality 26.0 -0.96
Composite 42.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 3.72 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 17.3 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio -15.4 2.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 2.5% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
191.09
vs
Market Price
204.45
Upside
-6.5%
Margin of Safety -7.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)26,063,952,429
Terminal Value PV81,145,916,405
Total Enterprise Value107,209,868,834

Assumptions

Base FCF5,314,303,668
Growth Rate (5yr)8.3%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
10.35%
Full Kelly
5.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 24/100. Estimated win rate 47%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
41.41
RSI(14)
-3.375
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

26
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-7.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance -6.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 41.41 NEUTRAL
Macd -3.375 BEARISH
Ma Cross 212.89 / 234.14 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.79x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High293.06
Bollinger Upper226.37
SMA(200)234.14
SMA(50)212.89
SMA(20)212.27
Current Price204.45
Bollinger Lower198.16
52-Week Low199.34
ATR(14)5.04

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.41x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.91x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 208.49 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 212.56 Base line
Senkou A 210.53 Leading span A
Senkou B 213.37 Leading span B
Cloud 210.53 – 213.37 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 204.45 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 207.81 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 198.16 – 226.37  |  KC: 204.59 – 219.95

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 201.74 Anchor: 2026-09-02 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/LOW

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap114.71B
P/E (TTM)17.27
Forward P/EN/A
P/B-15.42
EPS11.84

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth8.3%
Profit Margin7.3%
ROEN/A
Debt/EquityN/A
Current Ratio1.10
Dividend Yield2.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.85

Trading Data

204.45
Open
204.45
Day High
204.45
Day Low
2.43M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Home Depot Expands Supply Chain: Will it Boost Efficiency?
Zacks · 2026-09-07
Lowe's (LOW) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
Zacks · 2026-09-07
Retailers are Handling Tariff Refunds in Very Different Ways: Walmart and Home Depot
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-06
Why Cheap LOW Stock Fails Part Of The Value Test
Trefis · 2026-09-04
Retail Earnings Just Exposed a Bigger Divide in the U.S. Consumer Economy
MarketBeat · 2026-09-04
Did Lowe’s New EVP Lineup and Shelf Filing Just Quietly Reframe the LOW Investment Narrative?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Nvidia Is Now Paying to Train Plumbers, and the Stock That Should Benefit Most Just Hit a 52-Week Low
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-03
Mortgage Rates Just Hit a 1-Year High. Here’s What That Means for Lowe’s and Home Depot Investors.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-03

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —