Lyft, Inc.

LYFT · Technology · · USD

15.74 USD

+0.00 (3.76%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 45

Momentum 55

Fundamental 67

Macro 78

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	45.4	30%
Momentum	54.9	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	35.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.74
Stop Loss	14.44 (8.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	17.04 (+8.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	18.34 (+16.5%)

ATR(14)	0.65 (4.1%)
Risk per Share	1.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	92.2	+1.69
Momentum	54.9	+0.19
Quality	67.5	+0.70
Composite	71.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	2.3	28.0	-92% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

118.95

Market Price

15.74

Upside

+655.7%

Margin of Safety	+86.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,515,590,724
Terminal Value PV	33,649,388,039
Total Enterprise Value	45,164,978,763

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,077,622,710
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

36.75%

Full Kelly

18.38%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.58

RSI(14)

0.4054

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+5.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 56d since high
Sector Outperformance	-30.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.58	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.4054	BULLISH
Ma Cross	14.14 / 16.94	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.71x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	25.54
Bollinger Upper	15.88
SMA(200)	16.94
SMA(50)	14.14
SMA(20)	14.51
Current Price	15.74
Bollinger Lower	13.14
52-Week Low	12.46
ATR(14)	0.65

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	14.94	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	14.52	Base line
Senkou A	14.73	Leading span A
Senkou B	14.32	Leading span B
Cloud	14.32 – 14.73	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	15.74	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	14.11	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH