Lyft, Inc.

LYFT · Technology · · USD

13.87 USD

0.00 (-3.47%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:51 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 65

Momentum 33

Fundamental 51

Macro 65

Liquidity 41

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	65.2	10%
Momentum	33.1	5%
Fundamental	51.4	40%
Macro	65.1	15%
Liquidity	40.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	13.87
Stop Loss	12.67 (8.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	15.07 (+8.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	16.27 (+17.3%)

ATR(14)	0.60 (4.3%)
Risk per Share	1.20
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	93.4	+1.74
Momentum	33.1	-0.68
Quality	67.5	+0.70
Composite	64.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.81 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	2.0	28.0	-93% below
P/B Ratio	1.8	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

118.95

Market Price

13.87

Upside

+757.6%

Margin of Safety	+88.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,515,591,306
Terminal Value PV	33,649,389,736
Total Enterprise Value	45,164,981,042

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,077,622,815
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.91%

Full Kelly

15.96%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.51

RSI(14)

0.0666

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-23.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-57.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.51	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0666	BEARISH
Ma Cross	13.74 / 17.4	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.07x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	25.54
Bollinger Upper	14.93
SMA(200)	17.4
SMA(50)	13.74
SMA(20)	14.32
Current Price	13.87
Bollinger Lower	13.7
52-Week Low	12.46
ATR(14)	0.6

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-05	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	14.32	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	14.12	Base line
Senkou A	14.22	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.90	Leading span B
Cloud	13.90 – 14.22	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	13.87	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	13.70	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL