Lyft, Inc.

LYFT · Technology · · USD

15.97 USD

+0.00 (1.46%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:11 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 49

Momentum 53

Fundamental 55

Macro 65

Liquidity 28

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	48.6	30%
Momentum	53.2	15%
Fundamental	55.1	10%
Macro	65.2	20%
Liquidity	27.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.94
Stop Loss	14.66 (8.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	17.22 (+8.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	18.50 (+16.1%)

ATR(14)	0.64 (4.0%)
Risk per Share	1.28
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	92.0	+1.68
Momentum	53.2	+0.13
Quality	67.5	+0.70
Composite	70.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.18 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	2.3	28.0	-92% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

118.95

Market Price

15.97

Upside

+644.9%

Margin of Safety	+86.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,515,591,306
Terminal Value PV	33,649,389,736
Total Enterprise Value	45,164,981,042

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,077,622,815
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

34.3%

Full Kelly

17.15%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

65.19

RSI(14)

0.451

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+9.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+5.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	65.19	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.451	BULLISH
Ma Cross	14.17 / 16.91	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.19x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	25.54
Bollinger Upper	16.04
SMA(200)	16.91
SMA(50)	14.17
SMA(20)	14.64
Current Price	15.97
Bollinger Lower	13.23
52-Week Low	12.46
ATR(14)	0.64

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	15.29	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	14.67	Base line
Senkou A	14.98	Leading span A
Senkou B	14.47	Leading span B
Cloud	14.47 – 14.98	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	15.94	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	14.09	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH