Moody's Corporation

MCO · Financial Services · · USD

493.55 USD

0.00 (-2.13%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 69

Momentum 67

Fundamental 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	68.6	30%
Momentum	66.7	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	43.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	493.55
Stop Loss	469.47 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	517.63 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	541.71 (+9.8%)

ATR(14)	12.04 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	24.08
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	20.7	-1.17
Momentum	66.7	+0.67
Quality	69.4	+0.78
Composite	52.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.4	18.0	+74% above
P/B Ratio	28.3	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	83.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

335.06

Market Price

493.55

Upside

-32.1%

Margin of Safety	-47.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	12,876,515,136
Terminal Value PV	45,149,148,604
Total Enterprise Value	58,025,663,740

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,180,695,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	15.1%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

43.41%

Full Kelly

21.71%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.59

RSI(14)

4.7019

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+4.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (36d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.59	NEUTRAL
Macd	4.7019	BEARISH
Ma Cross	488.54 / 471.09	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.62x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	546.88
Bollinger Upper	522.65
SMA(200)	471.09
SMA(50)	488.54
SMA(20)	495.7
Current Price	493.55
Bollinger Lower	468.76
52-Week Low	402.28
ATR(14)	12.04

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	502.56	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	495.10	Base line
Senkou A	498.83	Leading span A
Senkou B	479.40	Leading span B
Cloud	479.40 – 498.83	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	493.55	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	477.37	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL