Moody's Corporation
MCO · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
50
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
67
Fundamental
44
Macro
24
Liquidity
39
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 79.1 | 10% |
| Momentum | 66.7 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 39.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 505.62 |
| Stop Loss | 477.13 (5.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 534.10 (+5.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 562.58 (+11.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 14.24 (2.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 28.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 21.2 | -1.15 | |
| Momentum | 66.7 | +0.67 | |
| Quality | 71.0 | +0.84 | |
| Composite | 52.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 30.9 | 18.0 | +72% above |
| P/B Ratio | 26.8 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 80.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
202.33
vs
Market Price
507.26
Upside
-60.1%
| Margin of Safety | -150.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,303,994,292 |
| Terminal Value PV | 25,582,663,660 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 34,886,657,952 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,260,824,669 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
32.86%
Full Kelly
16.43%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
58.59
RSI(14)
10.9461
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+10.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +4.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.59 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 10.9461 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 477.48 / 465.12 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 546.88 |
| Bollinger Upper | 521.62 |
| SMA(200) | 465.12 |
| SMA(50) | 477.48 |
| SMA(20) | 487.79 |
| Current Price | 507.26 |
| Bollinger Lower | 453.95 |
| 52-Week Low | 402.28 |
| ATR(14) | 14.24 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.01x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 501.94 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 485.50 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 493.72 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 485.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 485.50 – 493.72 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 505.62 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 441.36 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 453.95 – 521.62 | KC: 465.64 – 509.94
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 460.22
Anchor: 2026-02-12 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MCO
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 87.46B |
| P/E (TTM) | 30.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 26.76 |
| EPS | 16.39 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.8% |
| Profit Margin | 35.3% |
| ROE | 76.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 223.27 |
| Current Ratio | 1.29 |
| Dividend Yield | 80.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.30 |
Trading Data
507.26
Open
507.26
Day High
507.26
Day Low
29.1K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)