MetLife, Inc.

MET · Financial Services · · USD

97.62 USD

0.00 (-1.62%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 91

Momentum 77

Fundamental 46

Macro 64

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	90.7	10%
Momentum	77.3	5%
Fundamental	46.5	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	47.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	97.62
Stop Loss	93.86 (3.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	101.38 (+3.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	105.14 (+7.7%)

ATR(14)	1.88 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	3.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.2	+0.77
Momentum	77.3	+1.09
Quality	39.7	-0.41
Composite	62.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.32 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	18.7	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.3	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

92.27

Market Price

97.62

Upside

-5.5%

Margin of Safety	-5.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	13,826,706,562
Terminal Value PV	44,807,393,985
Total Enterprise Value	58,634,100,547

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,653,751,647
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

38.24%

Full Kelly

19.12%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.64

RSI(14)

0.7696

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+11.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.64	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7696	BEARISH
Ma Cross	94.04 / 81.03	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.95x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	100.93
Bollinger Upper	98.95
SMA(200)	81.03
SMA(50)	94.04
SMA(20)	96.31
Current Price	97.62
Bollinger Lower	93.66
52-Week Low	67.33
ATR(14)	1.88

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	96.58	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	97.15	Base line
Senkou A	96.87	Leading span A
Senkou B	92.30	Leading span B
Cloud	92.30 – 96.87	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	97.62	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	95.54	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH