Monster Beverage Corporation
MNST · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
70
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
78
Momentum
67
Fundamental
81
Macro
22
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 77.5 | 30% |
| Momentum | 66.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 81.1 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 72.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 47.83 |
| Stop Loss | 45.53 (4.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 50.13 (+4.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 52.43 (+9.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.15 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.30 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 5.9 | -1.76 | |
| Momentum | 60.8 | +0.43 | |
| Quality | 76.5 | +1.06 | |
| Composite | 47.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.78
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 44.3 | 18.0 | +146% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.5 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
24.49
vs
Market Price
47.83
Upside
-48.8%
| Margin of Safety | -95.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,434,801,159 |
| Terminal Value PV | 37,548,444,744 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 47,983,245,903 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,692,620,724 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 16.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.44%
Full Kelly
22.72%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
60.03
RSI(14)
0.9405
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
68
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+10.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 60.03 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.9405 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 44.73 / 43.24 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.79x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 50.17 |
| Bollinger Upper | 49.19 |
| SMA(200) | 43.24 |
| SMA(50) | 44.73 |
| SMA(20) | 46.15 |
| Current Price | 47.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 43.11 |
| 52-Week Low | 34.26 |
| ATR(14) | 1.15 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 47.21 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 45.45 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 46.33 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 45.27 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 45.27 – 46.33 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 47.83 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 42.14 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 43.11 – 49.19 | KC: 44.46 – 47.84
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 42.07
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MNST
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 93.70B |
| P/E (TTM) | 44.29 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.51 |
| EPS | 1.08 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 16.7% |
| Profit Margin | 22.7% |
| ROE | 24.7% |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 3.81 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
47.83
Open
47.83
Day High
47.83
Day Low
17.23M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)