S&P 500 7718.60 -0.38%
NASDAQ 26506.99 -0.29%
TASI 11024.73 -0.40%
Oil (WTI) 91.48 +0.00%
Oil (Brent) 96.28 +0.00%
VIX 15.30 +5.30%
Gold 4476.60 +0.00%
USD/SAR 3.76 +0.02%

Altria Group, Inc.

MO · Consumer Defensive · · USD
68.88 USD
0.00 (-0.88%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

66
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 64
Momentum 55
Fundamental 72
Macro 64
Liquidity 52
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 64.5 10%
Momentum 55.0 5%
Fundamental 72.2 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 52.2 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 68.88
Stop Loss 65.76 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 72.00 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 75.12 (+9.1%)
ATR(14) 1.56 (2.3%)
Risk per Share 3.12
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 77.5 +1.10
Momentum 55.0 +0.20
Quality 49.3 -0.03
Composite 60.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 5.96 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 14.5 18.0 -19% below
P/B Ratio -43.1 2.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 6.5% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
58.64
vs
Market Price
68.88
Upside
-14.9%
Margin of Safety -17.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)26,111,752,516
Terminal Value PV71,798,000,010
Total Enterprise Value97,909,752,526

Assumptions

Base FCF6,345,026,919
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
43.1%
Full Kelly
21.55%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
51.9
RSI(14)
0.0539
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

73
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-7.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance -5.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 51.9 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0539 BULLISH
Ma Cross 69.83 / 65.14 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.79x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High77.06
Bollinger Upper70.89
SMA(200)65.14
SMA(50)69.83
SMA(20)67.09
Current Price68.88
Bollinger Lower63.3
52-Week Low54.70
ATR(14)1.56

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.23x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.1x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 No Demand 0.59x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-04 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 68.97 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 67.22 Base line
Senkou A 68.10 Leading span A
Senkou B 70.49 Leading span B
Cloud 68.10 – 70.49 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 68.88 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 68.33 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 63.3 – 70.89  |  KC: 64.87 – 69.32

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 66.54 Anchor: 2026-01-07 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/MO

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap115.01B
P/E (TTM)14.50
Forward P/EN/A
P/B-43.10
EPS4.75

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth1.2%
Profit Margin39.0%
ROEN/A
Debt/EquityN/A
Current Ratio0.52
Dividend Yield6.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.49

Trading Data

68.88
Open
68.88
Day High
68.88
Day Low
7.01M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Meet the Dirt Cheap 6.4%-Yielding Dividend Stock That's Beating the Market in 2026
Motley Fool · 2026-09-06
Why Is Altria Group (MO) Adding A Consumer Goods Veteran To Its Board?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Boomers Discovered the Dividend Champions and Are Buying 5 Highest-Yielding Stocks Hand Over Fist
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Altria Just Raised Its 6.4% Dividend—Can It Keep Paying?
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Bear of the Day: Turning Point Brands (TPB)
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Altria Group Stock: Is MO Underperforming the Consumer Defensive Sector?
Barchart · 2026-09-03
Altria Group (MO) Challenges FDA Review System as Smoke-Free Strategy Takes Center Stage
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-03
From High Dividend Growth to High Yield, These 3 Stocks Just Boosted Dividend Payouts
MarketBeat · 2026-09-02

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —