Altria Group, Inc.
MO · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
74
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
95
Momentum
71
Fundamental
72
Macro
22
Liquidity
60
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 95.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 71.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 72.2 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 60.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 77.58 |
| Stop Loss | 74.10 (4.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 81.06 (+4.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 84.54 (+9.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.74 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 70.5 | +0.82 | |
| Momentum | 71.4 | +0.86 | |
| Quality | 50.5 | +0.02 | |
| Composite | 64.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.14
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.0 | 18.0 | -11% below |
| P/B Ratio | -58.0 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 5.7% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
64.16
vs
Market Price
77.58
Upside
-17.3%
| Margin of Safety | -20.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 27,779,756,476 |
| Terminal Value PV | 78,943,223,639 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 106,722,980,115 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,454,135,230 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.11%
Full Kelly
24.05%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
65.32
RSI(14)
1.9676
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
87
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+20.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +6.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.32 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.9676 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 70.96 / 67.61 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.11x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 79.87 |
| Bollinger Upper | 78.98 |
| SMA(200) | 67.61 |
| SMA(50) | 70.96 |
| SMA(20) | 74.72 |
| Current Price | 77.58 |
| Bollinger Lower | 70.47 |
| 52-Week Low | 54.70 |
| ATR(14) | 1.74 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 3.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Upthrust | 2.34x | High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust) |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 76.09 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 72.83 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 74.46 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 72.83 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 72.83 – 74.46 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 77.58 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 66.95 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 70.47 – 78.98 | KC: 72.16 – 77.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 5 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 5 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 66.71
Anchor: 2026-01-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MO
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 129.05B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.00 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -58.03 |
| EPS | 4.85 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.6% |
| Profit Margin | 39.3% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.46 |
Trading Data
77.58
Open
77.58
Day High
77.58
Day Low
9.70M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)