Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · Healthcare · · USD

76.56 USD

+0.00 (3.74%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 15:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 100

Momentum 100

Fundamental 67

Macro 78

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	99.6	30%
Momentum	100.0	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	78.3	20%
Liquidity	40.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	76.56
Stop Loss	66.46 (13.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	86.66 (+13.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	96.76 (+26.4%)

ATR(14)	5.05 (6.6%)
Risk per Share	10.10
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	62.1	+0.48
Momentum	100.0	+2.00
Quality	18.2	-1.27
Composite	60.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 14.96 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	4.1	4.0	Inline

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

56.43%

Full Kelly

28.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 89/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.4%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

67.57

RSI(14)

7.1782

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+35.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+37.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	67.57	NEUTRAL
Macd	7.1782	BULLISH
Ma Cross	54.73 / 42.18	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.44x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	85.60
Bollinger Upper	86.17
SMA(200)	42.18
SMA(50)	54.73
SMA(20)	64.53
Current Price	76.56
Bollinger Lower	42.89
52-Week Low	22.28
ATR(14)	5.05

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	1.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	72.41	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	64.75	Base line
Senkou A	68.58	Leading span A
Senkou B	64.64	Leading span B
Cloud	64.64 – 68.58	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	76.56	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	45.64	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH