Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · Healthcare · · USD

70.18 USD

0.00 (-8.33%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 99

Momentum 100

Fundamental 67

Macro 71

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	99.2	10%
Momentum	100.0	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	34.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	70.58
Stop Loss	60.26 (14.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	80.89 (+14.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	91.22 (+29.2%)

ATR(14)	5.16 (7.3%)
Risk per Share	10.32
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	65.7	+0.63
Momentum	100.0	+2.00
Quality	18.2	-1.27
Composite	61.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 13.79 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.8	4.0	Inline

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

45.26%

Full Kelly

22.63%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.86

RSI(14)

6.5684

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+26.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (4d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+34.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.86	NEUTRAL
Macd	6.5684	BULLISH
Ma Cross	55.2 / 42.4	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.16x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	85.60
Bollinger Upper	85.69
SMA(200)	42.4
SMA(50)	55.2
SMA(20)	65.76
Current Price	70.18
Bollinger Lower	45.82
52-Week Low	22.28
ATR(14)	5.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	No Supply	0.45x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-07-10	Normal	0.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	75.95	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	65.45	Base line
Senkou A	70.70	Leading span A
Senkou B	64.64	Leading span B
Cloud	64.64 – 70.70	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	70.58	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	49.06	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL