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Morgan Stanley

MS · Financial Services · · USD
217.72 USD
+0.00 (0.26%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

74
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 71
Momentum 72
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 51
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 70.9 30%
Momentum 72.2 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 51.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 217.72
Stop Loss 207.80 (4.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 227.64 (+4.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 237.56 (+9.1%)
ATR(14) 4.96 (2.3%)
Risk per Share 9.92
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 71.8 +0.87
Momentum 72.2 +0.89
Quality 56.9 +0.27
Composite 66.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 17.6 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 3.2 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 2.1% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
386.17
vs
Market Price
217.72
Upside
+77.4%
Margin of Safety +43.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)119,605,855,015
Terminal Value PV486,906,569,665
Total Enterprise Value606,512,424,680

Assumptions

Base FCF15,567,452,537
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
48.22%
Full Kelly
24.11%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
55.0
RSI(14)
0.1062
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-1.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance -4.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 55.0 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.1062 BULLISH
Ma Cross 215.02 / 189.28 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.83x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High232.25
Bollinger Upper220.57
SMA(200)189.28
SMA(50)215.02
SMA(20)215.05
Current Price217.72
Bollinger Lower209.53
52-Week Low147.25
ATR(14)4.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.95x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.02x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 213.56 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 214.66 Base line
Senkou A 214.11 Leading span A
Senkou B 216.40 Leading span B
Cloud 214.11 – 216.40 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 217.72 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 210.42 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 8 bars Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 209.53 – 220.57  |  KC: 208.37 – 221.73

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 17

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 181.18 Anchor: 2025-09-05 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +20.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/MS

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap341.94B
P/E (TTM)17.57
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.21
EPS12.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth28.0%
Profit Margin25.9%
ROE18.0%
Debt/Equity517.28
Current Ratio2.00
Dividend Yield2.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.21

Trading Data

217.72
Open
217.72
Day High
217.72
Day Low
2.93M
Volume (0.6x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Anthropic Weighs Morgan Stanley And Goldman Sachs For Key Roles In $2 Trillion IPO, Says Report
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TheStreet · 2026-09-04
Market Chatter: Anthropic May Give Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Key Roles in $2 Trillion IPO
MT Newswires · 2026-09-04

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —