Newmont Corporation
NEM · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
71
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
66
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
75
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 79.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 65.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 74.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 119.71 |
| Stop Loss | 110.43 (7.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 128.99 (+7.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 138.27 (+15.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.64 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 9.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.1 | +1.08 | |
| Momentum | 59.9 | +0.40 | |
| Quality | 73.2 | +0.93 | |
| Composite | 70.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
14.94
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.9 | 18.0 | -23% below |
| P/B Ratio | 3.5 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 87.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
184.23
vs
Market Price
119.71
Upside
+53.9%
| Margin of Safety | +35.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 42,429,681,563 |
| Terminal Value PV | 149,016,362,243 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 191,446,043,806 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 7,166,276,204 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 15.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
46.16%
Full Kelly
23.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
56.69
RSI(14)
-1.1658
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+11.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (51d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +7.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 56.69 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -1.1658 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 119.09 / 112.06 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.89x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 135.29 |
| Bollinger Upper | 122.12 |
| SMA(200) | 112.06 |
| SMA(50) | 119.09 |
| SMA(20) | 114.06 |
| Current Price | 119.71 |
| Bollinger Lower | 106.0 |
| 52-Week Low | 81.34 |
| ATR(14) | 4.64 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.32x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 113.69 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 113.69 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 113.69 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 119.76 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 113.69 – 119.76 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 119.71 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 114.67 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 106.0 – 122.12 | KC: 107.4 – 120.73
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 108.33
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NEM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 124.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | 13.89 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.50 |
| EPS | 8.62 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 15.2% |
| Profit Margin | 34.7% |
| ROE | 27.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 15.58 |
| Current Ratio | 2.45 |
| Dividend Yield | 87.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.57 |
Trading Data
119.71
Open
119.71
Day High
119.71
Day Low
12.56M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)