NIKE, Inc.
NKE · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
43
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
34
Momentum
51
Fundamental
83
Macro
22
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 33.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 50.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 50.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 39.56 |
| Stop Loss | 37.14 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 41.98 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 44.40 (+12.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.21 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.42 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 65.3 | +0.61 | |
| Momentum | 50.6 | +0.02 | |
| Quality | 47.2 | -0.11 | |
| Composite | 54.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.09
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.0 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 3.9 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
25.68
vs
Market Price
39.56
Upside
-35.1%
| Margin of Safety | -54.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,244,301,989 |
| Terminal Value PV | 22,668,888,038 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 30,913,190,027 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,003,324,672 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
27.18%
Full Kelly
13.59%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 43/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
61.15
RSI(14)
0.8026
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
9
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+0.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 62d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 61.15 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.8026 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 36.88 / 44.9 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.13x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 69.14 |
| Bollinger Upper | 40.52 |
| SMA(200) | 44.9 |
| SMA(50) | 36.88 |
| SMA(20) | 37.53 |
| Current Price | 39.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 34.54 |
| 52-Week Low | 31.97 |
| ATR(14) | 1.21 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION B
Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 38.97 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 36.53 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 37.75 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 36.53 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 36.53 – 37.75 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 39.56 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 35.15 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 34.54 – 40.52 | KC: 35.8 – 39.26
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 35.99
Anchor: 2026-10-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NKE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 58.76B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.02 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.85 |
| EPS | 2.08 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -4.3% |
| Profit Margin | 6.7% |
| ROE | 21.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 73.09 |
| Current Ratio | 2.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.03 |
Trading Data
39.56
Open
39.56
Day High
39.56
Day Low
28.20M
Volume (0.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)