Nucor Corporation

NUE · Basic Materials · · USD

232.34 USD

+0.00 (1.09%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 13:50 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 96

Momentum 94

Fundamental 89

Macro 72

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	10%
Trend & RS	96.0	10%
Momentum	94.2	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	71.8	15%
Liquidity	50.1	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	232.34
Stop Loss	221.06 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	243.62 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	254.90 (+9.7%)

ATR(14)	5.64 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	11.28
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	67.7	+0.71
Momentum	94.2	+1.77
Quality	48.9	-0.04
Composite	70.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 7.35 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.1	18.0	+28% above
P/B Ratio	2.5	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	96.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

273.24

Market Price

232.34

Upside

+17.6%

Margin of Safety	+15.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	12,799,909,719
Terminal Value PV	49,426,920,379
Total Enterprise Value	62,226,830,098

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,836,460,233
Growth Rate (5yr)	21.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.66%

Full Kelly

24.83%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

73.5

RSI(14)

12.1342

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+12.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (6d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+21.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	73.5	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	12.1342	BEARISH
Ma Cross	190.2 / 163.35	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.82x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	235.45
Bollinger Upper	244.58
SMA(200)	163.35
SMA(50)	190.2
SMA(20)	219.69
Current Price	232.34
Bollinger Lower	194.8
52-Week Low	106.21
ATR(14)	5.64

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	229.12	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	206.59	Base line
Senkou A	217.85	Leading span A
Senkou B	195.03	Leading span B
Cloud	195.03 – 217.85	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	232.34	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	182.16	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH