Nucor Corporation
NUE · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
62
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
74
Momentum
51
Fundamental
89
Macro
54
Liquidity
58
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 73.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 51.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 58.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 244.97 |
| Stop Loss | 224.35 (8.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 265.59 (+8.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 286.21 (+16.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.31 (4.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 20.62 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.0 | +1.08 | |
| Momentum | 51.1 | +0.05 | |
| Quality | 49.9 | -0.00 | |
| Composite | 59.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.86
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.6 | 18.0 | -13% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.4 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 91.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
489.34
vs
Market Price
244.97
Upside
+99.8%
| Margin of Safety | +49.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 21,893,362,378 |
| Terminal Value PV | 89,126,255,337 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 111,019,617,715 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,849,558,491 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
41.07%
Full Kelly
20.54%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
38.22
RSI(14)
1.9178
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
84
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-5.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -7.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 38.22 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.9178 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 254.9 / 225.27 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.08x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 287.70 |
| Bollinger Upper | 281.24 |
| SMA(200) | 225.27 |
| SMA(50) | 254.9 |
| SMA(20) | 261.77 |
| Current Price | 244.97 |
| Bollinger Lower | 242.31 |
| 52-Week Low | 140.93 |
| ATR(14) | 10.31 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
56%
Upthrust (potential)
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.13x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 266.17 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 262.87 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 264.52 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 258.45 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 258.45 – 264.52 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 244.97 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 240.39 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 242.31 – 281.24 | KC: 246.77 – 276.78
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 211.12
Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NUE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 55.58B |
| P/E (TTM) | 15.60 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.43 |
| EPS | 15.70 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 32.0% |
| Profit Margin | 9.3% |
| ROE | 17.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 29.44 |
| Current Ratio | 2.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 91.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.81 |
Trading Data
244.97
Open
244.97
Day High
244.97
Day Low
1.67M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)