Nucor Corporation

NUE · Basic Materials · · USD

261.07 USD

0.00 (-0.53%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 96

Momentum 68

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	96.0	30%
Momentum	68.1	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	42.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	261.07
Stop Loss	244.21 (6.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	277.93 (+6.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	294.79 (+12.9%)

ATR(14)	8.43 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	16.86
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.4	+0.78
Momentum	68.1	+0.73
Quality	47.5	-0.10
Composite	61.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 8.01 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.8	18.0	+16% above
P/B Ratio	2.7	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	86.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

362.31

Market Price

261.07

Upside

+38.8%

Margin of Safety	+27.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	16,578,919,534
Terminal Value PV	65,619,447,687
Total Enterprise Value	82,198,367,221

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,274,201,776
Growth Rate (5yr)	23.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

53.1%

Full Kelly

26.55%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 83/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.54

RSI(14)

0.9974

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-1.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (58d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+3.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.54	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.9974	BULLISH
Ma Cross	248.54 / 205.32	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.56x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	280.11
Bollinger Upper	280.84
SMA(200)	205.32
SMA(50)	248.54
SMA(20)	258.31
Current Price	261.07
Bollinger Lower	235.79
52-Week Low	131.32
ATR(14)	8.43

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	No Demand	0.56x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	255.79	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	259.37	Base line
Senkou A	257.58	Leading span A
Senkou B	247.36	Leading span B
Cloud	247.36 – 257.58	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	261.07	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	257.29	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH