NXP Semiconductors N.V.

NXPI · Technology · · USD

298.41 USD

+0.00 (1.42%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 94

Momentum 98

Fundamental 67

Macro 72

Liquidity 55

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	93.5	30%
Momentum	97.9	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	71.9	20%
Liquidity	55.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	298.41
Stop Loss	274.91 (7.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	321.91 (+7.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	345.41 (+15.8%)

ATR(14)	11.75 (3.9%)
Risk per Share	23.50
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	40.2	-0.39
Momentum	97.9	+1.92
Quality	61.1	+0.45
Composite	66.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	28.5	28.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	6.9	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.4%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

198.36

Market Price

298.41

Upside

-33.5%

Margin of Safety	-50.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,541,995,644
Terminal Value PV	38,538,125,383
Total Enterprise Value	50,080,121,027

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,114,697,646
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

55.02%

Full Kelly

27.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 86/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

68.97

RSI(14)

23.3229

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+12.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (2d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-11.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	68.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	23.3229	BULLISH
Ma Cross	225.04 / 221.65	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.74x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	306.62
Bollinger Upper	335.44
SMA(200)	221.65
SMA(50)	225.04
SMA(20)	265.11
Current Price	298.41
Bollinger Lower	194.77
52-Week Low	183.00
ATR(14)	11.75

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	296.06	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	252.81	Base line
Senkou A	274.44	Leading span A
Senkou B	245.65	Leading span B
Cloud	245.65 – 274.44	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	298.41	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	204.27	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH