S&P 500 7718.60 -0.38%
NASDAQ 26506.99 -0.29%
TASI 11024.73 -0.40%
Oil (WTI) 91.48 +0.00%
Oil (Brent) 96.28 +0.00%
VIX 15.26 +5.02%
Gold 4476.60 +0.00%
USD/SAR 3.76 +0.02%

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

NXPI · Technology · · USD
227.84 USD
+0.00 (1.26%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

50
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 35
Momentum 47
Fundamental 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 47
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 34.7 30%
Momentum 47.0 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 47.3 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 227.84
Stop Loss 213.34 (6.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 242.34 (+6.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 256.84 (+12.7%)
ATR(14) 7.25 (3.2%)
Risk per Share 14.50
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 60.0 +0.40
Momentum 47.0 -0.12
Quality 61.7 +0.47
Composite 56.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 19.5 28.0 -30% below
P/B Ratio 5.0 6.0 Below
Dividend Yield 1.8% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
296.22
vs
Market Price
227.84
Upside
+30.0%
Margin of Safety +23.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,696,078,224
Terminal Value PV58,999,432,178
Total Enterprise Value74,695,510,402

Assumptions

Base FCF2,362,274,090
Growth Rate (5yr)19.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
32.86%
Full Kelly
16.43%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
43.92
RSI(14)
-6.8588
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

24
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-27.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (53d since high)
Sector Outperformance -16.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 43.92 NEUTRAL
Macd -6.8588 BULLISH
Ma Cross 250.27 / 242.54 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.0x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High339.95
Bollinger Upper236.71
SMA(200)242.54
SMA(50)250.27
SMA(20)227.69
Current Price227.84
Bollinger Lower218.67
52-Week Low183.00
ATR(14)7.25

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.03x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 223.65 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 234.51 Base line
Senkou A 229.08 Leading span A
Senkou B 262.34 Leading span B
Cloud 229.08 – 262.34 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 227.84 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 229.16 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 218.67 – 236.71  |  KC: 218.87 – 236.51

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 4
Regular Bullish RSI 10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 248.62 Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -8.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/NXPI

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap57.45B
P/E (TTM)19.46
Forward P/EN/A
P/B5.04
EPS11.71

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth19.5%
Profit Margin22.6%
ROE27.9%
Debt/Equity93.33
Current Ratio2.04
Dividend Yield1.8%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.82

Trading Data

227.84
Open
227.84
Day High
227.84
Day Low
2.91M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Ambarella Beat Estimates but Fell as NXP Buyout Talk Lingered. Is the Edge-AI Upside Already Priced In?
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-04
What Is The Market Really Expecting From MPWR Stock?
Trefis · 2026-09-04
Is NXP Semiconductors Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?
Barchart · 2026-09-04
Implied Volatility Surging for NXP Semiconductors Stock Options
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Chipmaker Ambarella Posts Mixed Fiscal Q2 Earnings Report
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-09-03
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why
Zacks · 2026-09-02
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Still Looks Cheap On Cash Flow While Earnings Lag
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-29
Is NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) A Bargain After Its Q2 Beat And Dividend?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-29

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —