NXP Semiconductors N.V.
NXPI · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
53
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
76
Momentum
51
Fundamental (0%)
85
Macro
24
Liquidity
88
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 76.0 | 20% |
| Momentum | 50.8 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 84.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 87.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 244.43 |
| Stop Loss | 221.21 (9.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 267.65 (+9.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 290.87 (+19.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 11.61 (4.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 23.22 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 60.5 | +0.42 | |
| Momentum | 46.2 | -0.15 | |
| Quality | 63.5 | +0.54 | |
| Composite | 56.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.57
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.2 | 28.0 | -31% below |
| P/B Ratio | 5.1 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
319.04
vs
Market Price
244.43
Upside
+30.5%
| Margin of Safety | +23.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 16,938,453,538 |
| Terminal Value PV | 63,475,718,453 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 80,414,171,991 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,562,874,782 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 19.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.87%
Full Kelly
17.44%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
49.89
RSI(14)
6.6575
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
89
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+7.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (2d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 49.89 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 6.6575 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 235.38 / 245.47 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 2.43x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 339.95 |
| Bollinger Upper | 271.53 |
| SMA(200) | 245.47 |
| SMA(50) | 235.38 |
| SMA(20) | 242.46 |
| Current Price | 244.43 |
| Bollinger Lower | 213.39 |
| 52-Week Low | 183.00 |
| ATR(14) | 11.61 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.43x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 253.54 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 245.36 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 249.45 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 244.20 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 244.20 – 249.45 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 244.43 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 239.19 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 213.39 – 271.53 | KC: 225.31 – 259.62
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 245.73
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NXPI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 61.61B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.23 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.10 |
| EPS | 12.71 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 19.3% |
| Profit Margin | 23.4% |
| ROE | 28.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 88.07 |
| Current Ratio | 2.12 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.86 |
Trading Data
244.43
Open
244.43
Day High
244.43
Day Low
12.41M
Volume (3.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)