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Okta, Inc.

OKTA · Technology · · USD
170.60 USD
+0.00 (0.11%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

88
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 99
Momentum 93
Fundamental 89
Macro 64
Liquidity 44
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 98.8 30%
Momentum 93.0 15%
Fundamental 88.9 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 43.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 170.60
Stop Loss 152.64 (10.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 188.56 (+10.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 206.52 (+21.1%)
ATR(14) 8.98 (5.3%)
Risk per Share 17.96
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 20.1 -1.20
Momentum 93.0 +1.72
Quality 32.4 -0.70
Composite 48.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 337.81 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 103.4 28.0 +269% above
P/B Ratio 4.3 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
29.29
vs
Market Price
170.60
Upside
-82.8%
Margin of Safety -482.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,152,661,551
Terminal Value PV3,742,030,749
Total Enterprise Value4,894,692,300

Assumptions

Base FCF220,624,479
Growth Rate (5yr)10.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
55.6%
Full Kelly
27.8%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 88/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.3%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
63.36
RSI(14)
7.4678
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+39.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High Near 3-month high 4d since high
Sector Outperformance +49.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 63.36 NEUTRAL
Macd 7.4678 BULLISH
Ma Cross 145.94 / 101.85 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.6x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High174.85
Bollinger Upper181.16
SMA(200)101.85
SMA(50)145.94
SMA(20)151.36
Current Price170.60
Bollinger Lower121.56
52-Week Low62.66
ATR(14)8.98

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.21x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.08x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.6x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 151.22 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 151.22 Base line
Senkou A 151.22 Leading span A
Senkou B 145.82 Leading span B
Cloud 145.82 – 151.22 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 170.60 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 141.93 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 121.56 – 181.16  |  KC: 137.8 – 164.92

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 119.16 Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +43.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/OKTA

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap29.82B
P/E (TTM)103.39
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.28
EPS1.65

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth10.6%
Profit Margin9.6%
ROE4.3%
Debt/Equity0.76
Current Ratio1.52
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.79

Trading Data

170.60
Open
170.60
Day High
170.60
Day Low
2.34M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Okta CFO Dumps 80,000 Company Shares Worth $12.9 Million After the Stock Hit a 52-Week High
Motley Fool · 2026-09-07
Okta Jumps 20% as AI-Driven Security Fears Fuel a Beat-and-Raise Quarter
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-06
Okta (OKTA) Stock Trades Near Fair Value But At A Premium On Earnings
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Zscaler Stock Falls After Earnings. How It’s Bidding to Join the Ranks of AI Winners.
Barrons.com · 2026-09-04
BlackLine, Upland Software, Zeta Global, Oracle, and Okta Shares Are Soaring and Falling, What You Need To Know
StockStory · 2026-09-03
Oracle Stock Could Be Software’s Next Big Winner
Barrons.com · 2026-09-03
Microsoft, Amazon and 8 More Stocks Set to Win in a $26 Trillion AI Market
Barrons.com · 2026-09-03
Stocks to Watch Recap: GitLab, Dell, Palo Alto Networks
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-09-02

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —