Omnicom Group Inc.

OMC · Communication Services · · USD

82.62 USD

0.00 (-2.49%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 74

Momentum 59

Fundamental 48

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	20%
Trend & RS	74.3	30%
Momentum	58.8	15%
Fundamental	48.0	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	44.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	82.62
Stop Loss	77.48 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	87.76 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	92.90 (+12.4%)

ATR(14)	2.57 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	5.14
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	52.3	+0.09
Momentum	58.8	+0.35
Quality	22.6	-1.10
Composite	44.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.02 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	223.3	18.0	+1140% above
P/B Ratio	2.4	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.9%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

11.53

Market Price

82.62

Upside

-86.0%

Margin of Safety	-616.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	623,914,646
Terminal Value PV	2,539,910,281
Total Enterprise Value	3,163,824,927

Assumptions

Base FCF	81,206,406
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.39%

Full Kelly

20.7%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.22

RSI(14)

0.5367

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+6.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.22	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.5367	BEARISH
Ma Cross	82.7 / 77.1	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	1.25x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	89.57
Bollinger Upper	90.34
SMA(200)	77.1
SMA(50)	82.7
SMA(20)	86.49
Current Price	82.62
Bollinger Lower	82.64
52-Week Low	66.33
ATR(14)	2.57

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

100%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Stopping Volume	2.22x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-03	Normal	1.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.25x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	84.88	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	83.83	Base line
Senkou A	84.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	80.54	Leading span B
Cloud	80.54 – 84.36	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	82.62	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	78.70	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL