Omnicom Group Inc.
OMC · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
66
/ 100
Technical
80
Trend & RS
84
Momentum
77
Fundamental
50
Macro
22
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 80.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 84.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 76.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 49.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 87.09 |
| Stop Loss | 81.89 (6.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 92.29 (+6.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 97.49 (+11.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.60 (3.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.20 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.3 | +0.13 | |
| Momentum | 69.9 | +0.80 | |
| Quality | 25.8 | -0.97 | |
| Composite | 49.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.21
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 88.0 | 18.0 | +389% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.4 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% | 1.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
30.86
vs
Market Price
87.09
Upside
-64.6%
| Margin of Safety | -182.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,734,260,661 |
| Terminal Value PV | 7,060,046,593 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,794,307,254 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 225,724,907 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
43.16%
Full Kelly
21.58%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
67.22
RSI(14)
1.8441
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
85
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +7.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 67.22 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.8441 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 79.37 / 77.18 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.75x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 89.57 |
| Bollinger Upper | 86.85 |
| SMA(200) | 77.18 |
| SMA(50) | 79.37 |
| SMA(20) | 80.92 |
| Current Price | 87.09 |
| Bollinger Lower | 74.99 |
| 52-Week Low | 66.33 |
| ATR(14) | 2.6 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
43%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 82.80 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 81.39 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 82.09 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 81.38 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 81.38 – 82.09 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 87.09 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 74.70 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 74.99 – 86.85 | KC: 76.98 – 84.85
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 76.45
Anchor: 2026-02-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/OMC
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 24.82B |
| P/E (TTM) | 87.97 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.39 |
| EPS | 0.99 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 59.1% |
| Profit Margin | 2.8% |
| ROE | 9.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 107.25 |
| Current Ratio | 0.92 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.74 |
Trading Data
87.09
Open
87.09
Day High
87.09
Day Low
5.10M
Volume (1.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)