Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated

PEG · Utilities · · USD

73.70 USD

0.00 (-0.15%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 22:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 28

Momentum 38

Fundamental (0%) 38

Macro 64

Liquidity 45

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	27.9	20%
Momentum	37.6	20%
Fundamental	38.5	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	44.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	73.70
Stop Loss	71.40 (3.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	76.00 (+3.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	78.30 (+6.2%)

ATR(14)	1.15 (1.6%)
Risk per Share	2.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.5	+0.82
Momentum	37.6	-0.50
Quality	35.5	-0.58
Composite	47.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.63 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	18.3	16.0	+15% above
P/B Ratio	2.1	1.8	Above
Dividend Yield	3.6%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

49.63

Market Price

73.70

Upside

-32.7%

Margin of Safety	-48.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,596,507,781
Terminal Value PV	18,138,042,068
Total Enterprise Value	24,734,549,849

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,602,918,816
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

20.52%

Full Kelly

10.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.06

RSI(14)

-1.0241

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-11.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.06	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0241	BULLISH
Ma Cross	77.26 / 79.17	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.79x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	87.63
Bollinger Upper	76.54
SMA(200)	79.17
SMA(50)	77.26
SMA(20)	74.32
Current Price	73.70
Bollinger Lower	72.09
52-Week Low	72.53
ATR(14)	1.15

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	2.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.25x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	73.53	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	75.13	Base line
Senkou A	74.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	78.12	Leading span B
Cloud	74.33 – 78.12	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	73.70	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	76.68	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH