Prologis, Inc.

PLD · Real Estate · · USD

137.34 USD

0.00 (-0.73%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 55

Momentum 49

Fundamental (0%) 58

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	55.2	20%
Momentum	48.6	20%
Fundamental	57.6	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	46.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	137.34
Stop Loss	132.92 (3.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	141.76 (+3.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	146.18 (+6.4%)

ATR(14)	2.21 (1.6%)
Risk per Share	4.42
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	47.1	-0.11
Momentum	48.6	-0.05
Quality	46.6	-0.14
Composite	47.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.43 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.6	18.0	+70% above
P/B Ratio	2.4	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.1%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

85.41

Market Price

137.34

Upside

-37.8%

Margin of Safety	-60.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	18,682,214,613
Terminal Value PV	62,486,918,555
Total Enterprise Value	81,169,133,168

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,413,597,472
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.52%

Full Kelly

17.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

38.78

RSI(14)

-1.1298

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-9.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (35d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	38.78	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.1298	BEARISH
Ma Cross	142.07 / 136.11	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.75x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	153.35
Bollinger Upper	144.05
SMA(200)	136.11
SMA(50)	142.07
SMA(20)	140.47
Current Price	137.34
Bollinger Lower	136.89
52-Week Low	110.60
ATR(14)	2.21

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.23x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	140.09	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	141.18	Base line
Senkou A	140.63	Leading span A
Senkou B	144.22	Leading span B
Cloud	140.63 – 144.22	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	137.34	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	144.61	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH