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PSA · Real Estate · · USD

302.01 USD

0.00 (-1.22%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 60

Momentum 48

Fundamental (0%) 62

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	59.6	20%
Momentum	47.7	20%
Fundamental	61.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	41.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	302.01
Stop Loss	288.85 (4.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	315.17 (+4.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	328.33 (+8.7%)

ATR(14)	6.58 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	13.16
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	28.1	-0.88
Momentum	47.7	-0.09
Quality	54.6	+0.18
Composite	43.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.95 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	28.8	18.0	+60% above
P/B Ratio	11.0	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.0%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

136.86

Market Price

302.01

Upside

-54.7%

Margin of Safety	-120.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,682,601,217
Terminal Value PV	18,874,767,840
Total Enterprise Value	25,557,369,057

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,565,676,351
Growth Rate (5yr)	3.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.8%

Full Kelly

17.4%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

33.89

RSI(14)

-5.0709

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-6.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	33.89	NEUTRAL
Macd	-5.0709	BEARISH
Ma Cross	320.44 / 294.49	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.69x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	335.55
Bollinger Upper	336.4
SMA(200)	294.49
SMA(50)	320.44
SMA(20)	317.77
Current Price	302.01
Bollinger Lower	299.14
52-Week Low	256.54
ATR(14)	6.58

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	311.39	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	313.73	Base line
Senkou A	312.56	Leading span A
Senkou B	316.12	Leading span B
Cloud	312.56 – 316.12	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	302.01	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	324.17	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH