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Rockwell Automation, Inc.

ROK · Industrials · · USD
433.81 USD
+0.00 (1.29%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

65
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 51
Momentum 62
Fundamental 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 44
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 51.2 10%
Momentum 61.9 5%
Fundamental 77.8 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 44.2 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 433.81
Stop Loss 412.47 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 455.15 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 476.49 (+9.8%)
ATR(14) 10.67 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 21.34
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 13.4 -1.46
Momentum 61.9 +0.48
Quality 48.2 -0.07
Composite 41.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 10.07 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 40.7 18.0 +126% above
P/B Ratio 13.8 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.3% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
169.35
vs
Market Price
433.81
Upside
-61.0%
Margin of Safety -156.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)4,607,310,133
Terminal Value PV14,237,481,260
Total Enterprise Value18,844,791,393

Assumptions

Base FCF949,834,463
Growth Rate (5yr)7.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
42.85%
Full Kelly
21.43%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
46.93
RSI(14)
-7.0298
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

40
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-7.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (47d since high)
Sector Outperformance -2.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 46.93 NEUTRAL
Macd -7.0298 BULLISH
Ma Cross 452.81 / 418.15 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.8x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High497.36
Bollinger Upper451.11
SMA(200)418.15
SMA(50)452.81
SMA(20)434.29
Current Price433.81
Bollinger Lower417.48
52-Week Low332.71
ATR(14)10.67

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.55x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.31x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 425.97 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 451.74 Base line
Senkou A 438.85 Leading span A
Senkou B 455.74 Leading span B
Cloud 438.85 – 455.74 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 433.81 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 478.61 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 417.48 – 451.11  |  KC: 420.63 – 447.96

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 4
Hidden Bearish MACD 7
Regular Bullish RSI 9
Regular Bullish MACD 9

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 409.45 Anchor: 2025-10-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/ROK

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap48.27B
P/E (TTM)40.66
Forward P/EN/A
P/B13.79
EPS10.67

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth7.9%
Profit Margin13.4%
ROE30.6%
Debt/Equity103.35
Current Ratio1.07
Dividend Yield1.3%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.51

Trading Data

433.81
Open
433.81
Day High
433.81
Day Low
506.9K
Volume (0.6x avg)

Recent News (8)

Eaton to Boost U.S. Power Capacity With $242M Arkansas Plant
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Q2 Earnings Highlights: Rockwell Automation (NYSE:ROK) Vs The Rest Of The Internet of Things Stocks
StockStory · 2026-09-03
Rockwell Automation (ROK) Stock May Be 18% Overvalued On Cash Flow And Earnings
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-31
Did Rockwell’s New AI-Driven Support and Cybersecurity Suite Just Shift Rockwell Automation's (ROK) Investment Narrative?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-31
KE or ROK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Zacks · 2026-08-26
Rockwell Automation CFO Sells 590 Shares
Motley Fool · 2026-08-26
3 Industrials Stocks with Questionable Fundamentals
StockStory · 2026-08-26
Do Wall Street Analysts Like Rockwell Automation Stock?
Barchart · 2026-08-21

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —