Rockwell Automation, Inc.
ROK · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
40
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
32
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
86
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 50.2 | 20% |
| Momentum | 31.9 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 86.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 386.21 |
| Stop Loss | 354.81 (8.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 417.61 (+8.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 449.01 (+16.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 15.70 (4.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 31.40 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 22.6 | -1.10 | |
| Momentum | 31.9 | -0.73 | |
| Quality | 64.9 | +0.60 | |
| Composite | 39.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
9.17
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 30.4 | 18.0 | +69% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.1 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
154.80
vs
Market Price
381.05
Upside
-59.4%
| Margin of Safety | -146.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,584,621,221 |
| Terminal Value PV | 12,606,072,091 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,190,693,312 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,114,040,318 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.0%
Full Kelly
12.5%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
32.74
RSI(14)
-5.3752
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
50
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-6.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (25d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -8.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 32.74 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -5.3752 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 429.6 / 425.58 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 497.36 |
| Bollinger Upper | 464.16 |
| SMA(200) | 425.58 |
| SMA(50) | 429.6 |
| SMA(20) | 428.84 |
| Current Price | 381.05 |
| Bollinger Lower | 393.52 |
| 52-Week Low | 347.53 |
| ATR(14) | 15.7 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 3.0x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.03x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 416.22 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 419.25 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 417.74 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 419.25 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 417.74 – 419.25 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 386.21 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 454.35 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 393.52 – 464.16 | KC: 406.4 – 451.28
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 437.38
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-11.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ROK
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 42.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 30.39 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.08 |
| EPS | 12.54 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.7% |
| Profit Margin | 15.7% |
| ROE | 38.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 99.94 |
| Current Ratio | 2.11 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.51 |
Trading Data
381.05
Open
381.05
Day High
381.05
Day Low
2.74M
Volume (3.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)