Sea Limited
SE · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
28
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
18
Momentum
14
Fundamental
67
Macro
23
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 18.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 14.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 70.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 75.63 |
| Stop Loss | 68.27 (9.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 82.99 (+9.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 90.35 (+19.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.68 (4.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 56.1 | +0.25 | |
| Momentum | 14.4 | -1.43 | |
| Quality | 36.6 | -0.54 | |
| Composite | 35.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 29.2 | 18.0 | +62% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.7 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
80.73
vs
Market Price
75.63
Upside
+6.7%
| Margin of Safety | +6.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,750,340,032 |
| Terminal Value PV | 39,692,911,510 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 49,443,251,542 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,269,067,937 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
13.62%
Full Kelly
6.81%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
33.23
RSI(14)
-5.9875
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
8
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-28.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -34.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.23 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -5.9875 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 95.71 / 97.7 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.27x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 159.09 |
| Bollinger Upper | 101.21 |
| SMA(200) | 97.7 |
| SMA(50) | 95.71 |
| SMA(20) | 82.68 |
| Current Price | 75.63 |
| Bollinger Lower | 64.15 |
| 52-Week Low | 71.53 |
| ATR(14) | 3.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 76.71 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 85.77 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 81.24 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 97.63 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 81.24 – 97.63 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 75.63 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 95.27 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 64.15 – 101.21 | KC: 77.03 – 88.33
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 16 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 75.91
Anchor: 2026-10-26 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 46.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 29.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.73 |
| EPS | 2.59 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 48.1% |
| Profit Margin | 5.9% |
| ROE | 14.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 31.62 |
| Current Ratio | 1.49 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.56 |
Trading Data
75.63
Open
75.63
Day High
75.63
Day Low
9.53M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)