Sea Limited
SE · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
68
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
62
Momentum
85
Fundamental
67
Macro
64
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 62.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 85.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 50.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 112.09 |
| Stop Loss | 103.45 (7.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 120.73 (+7.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 129.37 (+15.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.32 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.64 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 31.0 | -0.76 | |
| Momentum | 85.2 | +1.41 | |
| Quality | 36.6 | -0.54 | |
| Composite | 50.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 43.3 | 18.0 | +140% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.5 | 2.5 | Above |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
80.73
vs
Market Price
112.09
Upside
-28.0%
| Margin of Safety | -38.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,750,340,231 |
| Terminal Value PV | 39,692,912,310 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 49,443,252,541 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,269,067,963 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
44.83%
Full Kelly
22.42%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
46.35
RSI(14)
0.6863
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
30
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+24.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (18d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +25.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 46.35 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.6863 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 110.85 / 105.8 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.78x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 199.30 |
| Bollinger Upper | 128.84 |
| SMA(200) | 105.8 |
| SMA(50) | 110.85 |
| SMA(20) | 118.45 |
| Current Price | 112.09 |
| Bollinger Lower | 108.07 |
| 52-Week Low | 77.05 |
| ATR(14) | 4.32 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.56x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | No Supply | 0.34x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 117.25 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 118.48 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 117.86 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 108.81 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 108.81 – 117.86 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 112.09 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 106.74 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 108.07 – 128.84 | KC: 111.23 – 125.67
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 14 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 96.70
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+15.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 68.65B |
| P/E (TTM) | 43.28 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.52 |
| EPS | 2.59 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 48.1% |
| Profit Margin | 5.9% |
| ROE | 14.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 31.62 |
| Current Ratio | 1.49 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.52 |
Trading Data
112.09
Open
112.09
Day High
112.09
Day Low
3.57M
Volume (0.8x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)