Sea Limited
SE · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
56
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
18
Momentum
11
Fundamental
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 18.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 11.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 70.2 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 72.66 |
| Stop Loss | 65.36 (10.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 79.96 (+10.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 87.26 (+20.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.65 (5.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.30 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.9 | +0.16 | |
| Momentum | 11.2 | -1.55 | |
| Quality | 36.6 | -0.54 | |
| Composite | 33.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.97
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 29.2 | 18.0 | +62% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.7 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
80.73
vs
Market Price
75.63
Upside
+6.7%
| Margin of Safety | +6.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,025,568,256 |
| Terminal Value PV | 36,742,419,324 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 45,767,987,580 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,174,734,342 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.61%
Full Kelly
18.31%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
30.0
RSI(14)
-6.009
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
8
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-31.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -37.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 30.0 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -6.009 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 94.8 / 97.44 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.07x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 159.09 |
| Bollinger Upper | 99.6 |
| SMA(200) | 97.44 |
| SMA(50) | 94.8 |
| SMA(20) | 81.55 |
| Current Price | 75.63 |
| Bollinger Lower | 63.5 |
| 52-Week Low | 71.53 |
| ATR(14) | 3.65 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.68x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.07x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 77.19 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 85.77 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 81.47 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 96.61 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 81.47 – 96.61 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 72.66 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 95.19 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 63.5 – 99.6 | KC: 75.94 – 87.16
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 17 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 75.88
Anchor: 2026-10-26 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-4.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 46.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 29.20 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.73 |
| EPS | 2.59 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 48.1% |
| Profit Margin | 5.9% |
| ROE | 14.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 31.62 |
| Current Ratio | 1.49 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.56 |
Trading Data
75.63
Open
75.63
Day High
75.63
Day Low
9.53M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)