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Sea Limited

SE · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
112.09 USD
0.00 (-0.89%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:08 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

71
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 62
Momentum 85
Fundamental 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 50
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 62.1 10%
Momentum 85.2 5%
Fundamental 83.3 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 50.1 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 112.09
Stop Loss 103.45 (7.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 120.73 (+7.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 129.37 (+15.4%)
ATR(14) 4.32 (3.9%)
Risk per Share 8.64
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 26.9 -0.92
Momentum 85.2 +1.41
Quality 36.6 -0.54
Composite 49.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 11.22 Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 43.3 18.0 +140% above
P/B Ratio 5.5 2.5 Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
80.73
vs
Market Price
112.09
Upside
-28.0%
Margin of Safety -38.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)9,025,568,256
Terminal Value PV36,742,419,324
Total Enterprise Value45,767,987,580

Assumptions

Base FCF1,174,734,342
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
46.34%
Full Kelly
23.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
46.35
RSI(14)
0.6863
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

30
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+24.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (18d since high)
Sector Outperformance +25.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 46.35 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.6863 BEARISH
Ma Cross 110.85 / 105.8 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.78x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High199.30
Bollinger Upper128.84
SMA(200)105.8
SMA(50)110.85
SMA(20)118.45
Current Price112.09
Bollinger Lower108.07
52-Week Low77.05
ATR(14)4.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.56x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 No Supply 0.34x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 117.25 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 118.48 Base line
Senkou A 117.86 Leading span A
Senkou B 108.81 Leading span B
Cloud 108.81 – 117.86 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 112.09 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 106.74 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 108.07 – 128.84  |  KC: 111.23 – 125.67

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 14

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 96.70 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +15.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/SE

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap68.65B
P/E (TTM)43.28
Forward P/EN/A
P/B5.52
EPS2.59

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth48.1%
Profit Margin5.9%
ROE14.7%
Debt/Equity31.62
Current Ratio1.49
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.52

Trading Data

112.09
Open
112.09
Day High
112.09
Day Low
3.57M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Is Sea (SE) Mispriced as DCF Signals Undervaluation While Market Multiples Tell Another Story?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Sea Limited CEO Xiaodong Li Sells 5,164 Shares for $621,901
Motley Fool · 2026-09-01
Sea (SE) Stock Looks Undervalued On Cash Flow Alone
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Sea (SE) Heads To ASEAN Conference 2026, Is It Still Below Fair Value?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —