The Sherwin-Williams Company
SHW · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
56
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
57
Momentum
69
Fundamental
56
Macro
24
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 56.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 68.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 72.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 349.01 |
| Stop Loss | 325.43 (6.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 372.59 (+6.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 396.17 (+13.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 11.79 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 23.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 19.9 | -1.20 | |
| Momentum | 62.5 | +0.50 | |
| Quality | 49.2 | -0.03 | |
| Composite | 43.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.1 | 18.0 | +78% above |
| P/B Ratio | 21.1 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 92.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
172.53
vs
Market Price
349.01
Upside
-50.6%
| Margin of Safety | -102.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,190,477,523 |
| Terminal Value PV | 31,490,550,575 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 41,681,028,098 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,100,849,837 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.89%
Full Kelly
18.44%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
56.68
RSI(14)
5.4049
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
41
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-0.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 56.68 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.4049 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 329.62 / 331.65 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.58x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 377.77 |
| Bollinger Upper | 357.8 |
| SMA(200) | 331.65 |
| SMA(50) | 329.62 |
| SMA(20) | 334.92 |
| Current Price | 349.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 312.04 |
| 52-Week Low | 289.86 |
| ATR(14) | 11.79 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
43%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.58x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 342.24 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 341.17 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 341.70 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 341.17 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 341.17 – 341.70 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 349.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 320.78 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 312.04 – 357.8 | KC: 318.32 – 351.51
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 7 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 332.41
Anchor: 2026-06-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SHW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 84.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 32.11 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 21.08 |
| EPS | 10.87 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.9% |
| Profit Margin | 10.7% |
| ROE | 63.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 372.16 |
| Current Ratio | 0.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 92.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.05 |
Trading Data
349.01
Open
349.01
Day High
349.01
Day Low
3.02M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)