The Sherwin-Williams Company

SHW · Basic Materials · · USD

333.71 USD

+0.00 (0.44%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 22:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 58

Momentum 53

Fundamental (0%) 75

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	58.2	20%
Momentum	53.0	20%
Fundamental	74.8	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	42.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	333.71
Stop Loss	318.11 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	349.31 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	364.91 (+9.3%)

ATR(14)	7.80 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	15.60
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	25.9	-0.96
Momentum	53.0	+0.12
Quality	49.5	-0.02
Composite	42.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 4.70 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.8	18.0	+71% above
P/B Ratio	20.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	96.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

169.36

Market Price

333.71

Upside

-49.3%

Margin of Safety	-97.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	10,108,642,509
Terminal Value PV	31,003,725,739
Total Enterprise Value	41,112,368,248

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,107,140,751
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.36%

Full Kelly

17.68%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

41.78

RSI(14)

-2.917

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+4.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (22d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+10.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	41.78	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.917	BEARISH
Ma Cross	342.39 / 332.62	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.63x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	377.77
Bollinger Upper	367.92
SMA(200)	332.62
SMA(50)	342.39
SMA(20)	347.24
Current Price	333.71
Bollinger Lower	326.56
52-Week Low	289.86
ATR(14)	7.8

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.38x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	341.64	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	349.54	Base line
Senkou A	345.59	Leading span A
Senkou B	335.85	Leading span B
Cloud	335.85 – 345.59	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	333.71	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	340.06	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH