The Sherwin-Williams Company
SHW · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
60
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
57
Momentum
59
Fundamental (0%)
77
Macro
24
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 56.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 59.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 76.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 72.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 340.24 |
| Stop Loss | 316.92 (6.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 363.56 (+6.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 386.88 (+13.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 11.66 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 23.32 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 24.5 | -1.02 | |
| Momentum | 59.2 | +0.37 | |
| Quality | 49.2 | -0.03 | |
| Composite | 44.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.91
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.1 | 18.0 | +78% above |
| P/B Ratio | 21.1 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 92.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
172.53
vs
Market Price
349.01
Upside
-50.6%
| Margin of Safety | -102.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,190,477,703 |
| Terminal Value PV | 31,490,551,128 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 41,681,028,831 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,100,849,874 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
39.64%
Full Kelly
19.82%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
52.2
RSI(14)
4.9492
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
41
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-1.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (2d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.2 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.9492 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 329.52 / 331.61 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 377.77 |
| Bollinger Upper | 357.73 |
| SMA(200) | 331.61 |
| SMA(50) | 329.52 |
| SMA(20) | 335.96 |
| Current Price | 349.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 314.19 |
| 52-Week Low | 289.86 |
| ATR(14) | 11.66 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 342.24 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 341.17 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 341.70 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 341.17 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 341.17 – 341.70 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 340.24 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 319.51 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 314.19 – 357.73 | KC: 318.91 – 353.01
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 8 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 332.41
Anchor: 2026-06-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SHW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 84.32B |
| P/E (TTM) | 32.11 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 21.08 |
| EPS | 10.87 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.9% |
| Profit Margin | 10.7% |
| ROE | 63.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 372.16 |
| Current Ratio | 0.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 92.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.05 |
Trading Data
349.01
Open
349.01
Day High
349.01
Day Low
3.02M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)